NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	74		Excitement	3.1 [1154]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +12.6%
San Antonio Spurs	84		Comeback	1.0 [1268]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -13.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	70%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Ferguson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	19	55%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	59%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	-0.05	12	19%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	12	84%	0.14	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	10	80%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	9	56%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	27%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	9	22%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.20	0.00	-0.07	8	25%	-0.05	5	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	26.4	0.2	25.5	2.5	28.3	107.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.0%

SAS +2.3%

SAS +9.8%

SAS +1.0%

SAS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	18.7	16.8	15.7	91.4	103.7	100.5
season	17.1	15.9		101.5	100.1
opponent	15.8	15.7		92.7	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	20.8	18.7	18.5	16.8	18.7
SAS	15.2	13.2	19.4	20.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Ferguson	14	15	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.39	14	-24	38	13.1	19.9	-6.82	18.1	16.5	1.59
Qyntel Woods	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-16	22	7.0	19.2	-12.17	24.0	16.6	7.44
Dan Dickau	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	4.0	19.1	-15.09	24.0	16.6	7.44
Eddie Gill	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.38	11	-21	32	16.6	20.0	-3.41	19.7	15.2	4.44
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	34	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-15	20	17.3	19.7	-2.45	16.4	17.1	-0.72
Theo Ratliff	59	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-7	4	19.5	16.6	2.86	17.2	15.7	1.58
Ruben Patterson	37	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-7	4	18.3	19.1	-0.82	15.7	17.8	-2.06
Dale Davis	20	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	3	-16	17.9	19.0	-1.08	14.3	17.6	-3.29
Zach Randolph	57	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	0	-10	19.3	17.2	2.08	17.0	16.5	0.49
Darius Miles	38	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	5	-20	20.2	17.4	2.82	17.1	16.6	0.41
Damon Stoudamire	51	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	11	-32	20.0	16.6	3.41	15.2	19.7	-4.44
Derek Anderson	60	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.24	-25	15	-40	20.2	14.6	5.60	16.8	16.9	-0.10

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	45	44	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.04	19	-9	28	16.3	17.5	-1.14	19.6	17.7	1.87
Bruce Bowen	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-8	26	17.1	16.0	1.07	19.3	17.1	2.19
Tony Parker	61	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.13	21	-11	32	17.0	16.2	0.78	19.6	15.9	3.62
Robert Horry	35	36	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	-5	20	15.6	17.8	-2.23	18.4	19.0	-0.59
Tim Duncan	61	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	-4	18	16.4	18.3	-1.94	19.5	16.2	3.27
Rasho Nesterovic	60	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	7	-4	17.3	15.4	1.97	19.2	17.4	1.79
Hedo Turkoglu	41	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.25	-5	15	-20	16.8	16.9	-0.17	18.4	19.0	-0.56
Kevin Willis	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	24.0	16.6	7.44	7.0	19.2	-12.17
Jason Hart	10	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.28	-10	20	-30	18.3	16.6	1.67	13.1	19.4	-6.31
Devin Brown	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.48	-19	29	-48	17.0	16.7	0.25	15.6	20.5	-4.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, BOS 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%
WAS 78, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
NJN 86, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%