NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	2.8 [1160]		MVP	Mark Price (GSW): +5.3%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	1.1 [1087]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -12.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Slater	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	9	71%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00
Clifford Rozier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.10	-0.01	0.10	9	72%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.09	20	63%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	57%	0.04	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Sharone Wright	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	0.06	16	50%	-0.06	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.06	11	81%	0.09	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	8	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	15	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	13	52%	0.03	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Lou Roe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.16	0.00	-0.12	4	10%	-0.01	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	23.0	15.0	21.2	1.8	41.3	127.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +25.4%

GSW +0.0%

GSW +14.4%

GSW +7.9%

GSW +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	GSW	NBA	TOR	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	17.1	15.6	113.3	116.5	104.4
season	16.1	15.0		102.2	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.0		109.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.2	17.1	17.1	10.1	14.7
GSW	15.1	19.8	18.9	15.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-6	8	16.9	14.2	2.69	21.7	16.1	5.55
Hubert Davis	20	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-16	28	11.2	15.7	-4.50	15.6	17.5	-1.87
Clifford Rozier	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	1	-6	16.1	14.4	1.68	15.4	17.5	-2.16
Shawn Respert	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.62	15	-19	34	12.9	16.9	-4.00	17.8	16.2	1.67
Reggie Slater	19	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	6	-16	17.6	13.9	3.72	17.7	17.0	0.73
Sharone Wright	19	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	5	-14	17.6	13.9	3.72	19.0	16.6	2.42
Doug Christie	67	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.21	-6	2	-8	15.0	13.8	1.17	17.1	17.1	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	0	-4	14.6	15.6	-1.02	16.5	22.7	-6.17
Marcus Camby	86	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-2	0	14.3	22.5	-8.16	16.7	26.5	-9.82
Walt Williams	73	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	9	-22	14.8	14.4	0.43	16.9	17.9	-1.00

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	74	73	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-11	26	17.1	17.1	-0.01	15.2	12.6	2.60
Mark Price	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.37	2	2	0	16.5	21.7	-5.25	14.3	18.1	-3.82
Joe Smith	75	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-2	8	16.7	19.2	-2.52	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Felton Spencer	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.21	20	-16	36	17.5	16.8	0.78	17.4	12.5	4.90
Donyell Marshall	71	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	8	-12	16.5	19.3	-2.81	14.1	16.7	-2.63
Andrew DeClercq	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-2	8	18.0	16.6	1.40	15.9	14.0	1.89
Scott Burrell	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.44	-9	13	-22	17.5	16.7	0.79	12.7	16.6	-3.82
Lou Roe	28	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.38	-12	16	-28	18.5	16.5	2.06	14.3	14.9	-0.60
Todd Fuller	6	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	8	-12	20.8	16.8	3.99	14.0	14.7	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 80, IND 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
HOU 83, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
NOK 69, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%