NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	116		Excitement	8.9 [129]		MVP	Austin Daye (DET): +36.0%
Detroit Pistons	120		Comeback	5.6 [152]		LVP	Earl Watson (UTA): -11.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.33,0.24,0.21	0.15	0.06	0.01	12	72%	0.33	2	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
Raja Bell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	78%	0.16	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	5	59%	0.09	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	59%	0.12	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	11	78%	0.22	5	-0.16	5	60%	-0.03
Al Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0,0,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	17	59%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	60%	0.14	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.27	0.02	13	64%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.00	10	80%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.00	0.17	0.00	9	52%	0.25	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.04
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.03	18	60%	0.17	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.07
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	5	70%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	52%	0.02	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.03
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	12	48%	0.01	1	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	28.3	17.4	29.5	2.7	45.0	150.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +14.9%

DET +3.2%

DET +8.5%

DET +25.0%

UTA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	14.7	15.7	15.5	123.4	126.3	105.7
season	15.9	16.7		106.4	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		110.1	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	15.8	13.6	14.5	14.7
DET	17.6	15.5	14.6	15.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	71	69	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-13	22	14.6	15.0	-0.31	16.5	13.8	2.67
Derrick Favors	32	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	1	-6	15.1	14.5	0.61	14.5	16.4	-1.94
Ronnie Price	29	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	15.8	14.2	1.60	16.0	15.7	0.31
Earl Watson	32	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	5	-14	15.3	14.4	0.94	14.4	16.5	-2.13
Francisco Elson	11	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	5	-14	15.4	14.6	0.73	11.8	16.4	-4.52
Paul Millsap	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-11	18	14.4	15.8	-1.40	16.3	14.0	2.27
Devin Harris	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-9	14	14.4	15.3	-0.94	16.5	14.4	2.13
Raja Bell	65	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-3	2	14.2	15.8	-1.60	15.7	16.0	-0.31
CJ Miles	23	26	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	9	-22	15.0	14.6	0.31	13.8	16.5	-2.67
Al Jefferson	72	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.46	-1	-3	2	14.8	14.6	0.17	16.5	13.6	2.97

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	46	47	1.11	-0.61	1.71	0.52	20	-16	36	14.2	17.2	-2.97	15.2	14.2	0.98
Ben Gordon	67	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.46	7	-3	10	16.0	15.0	1.01	14.9	14.4	0.47
Jason Maxiell	30	30	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-6	16	12.2	17.4	-5.23	14.3	14.9	-0.57
Greg Monroe	73	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	10	-16	16.2	14.4	1.74	14.3	16.0	-1.73
Austin Daye	73	73	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	10	-16	16.8	12.2	4.58	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Charlie Villanueva	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-1	6	15.8	15.7	0.08	14.8	14.6	0.20
DaJuan Summers	37	36	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.22	8	-4	12	15.1	16.1	-1.00	14.9	14.6	0.36
Chris Wilcox	30	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	9	-14	17.0	15.2	1.88	15.2	14.5	0.70
Rodney Stuckey	80	78	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.26	-13	17	-30	16.2	13.5	2.63	14.6	15.6	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.28,0.15,0.41,0.76,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 76, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.55,0.92,1	91.0%
PHI 87, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.73,1	90.6%
ATL 92, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.68,0.96,1	90.5%