NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	8.5 [157]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +34.8%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	2.2 [690]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (ATL): -32.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	17	63%	0.20	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	10	70%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.05	18	66%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Person	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.10	0.00	11	17%	-0.20	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.32	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.32	-0.12	-0.22	-0.02	24	39%	-0.15	3	-0.17	3	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.16	0.20	0.01	11	83%	0.35	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	11	42%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	18	36%	-0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	26.1	15.3	26.8	1.7	32.6	126.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +28.6%

NJN +19.4%

ATL -12.8%

NJN +13.6%

NJN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	15.7	104.5	108.9	100.5
season	15.3	15.3		98.2	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.5		95.2	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	16.3	17.8	18.2	16.9
NJN	16.7	15.0	14.9	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	51	53	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-16	26	16.8	17.0	-0.13	14.8	16.5	-1.71
Stephen Jackson	69	71	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.27	6	-12	18	16.9	16.7	0.21	15.5	15.5	0.01
Chris Crawford	47	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	0	-6	17.0	16.8	0.17	14.9	16.1	-1.20
Jacque Vaughn	14	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	5	-16	15.2	17.2	-2.00	13.8	15.8	-2.00
Jason Terry	74	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-11	16	17.2	15.2	2.00	15.8	13.8	2.00
Dion Glover	19	19	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	6	-18	16.7	16.9	-0.21	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	76	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-5	4	16.8	17.7	-0.99	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Joel Przybilla	51	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-4	2	17.3	16.3	0.99	16.7	13.9	2.74
Wesley Person	39	39	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.06	-19	13	-32	16.6	17.1	-0.55	15.8	15.3	0.51

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	45	46	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-5	16	15.4	15.6	-0.16	17.7	16.0	1.67
Richard Jefferson	55	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	0	6	15.6	15.3	0.31	17.2	16.5	0.70
Jason Kidd	72	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	4	-2	15.2	16.4	-1.14	17.2	15.9	1.28
Kerry Kittles	76	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	11	-16	15.4	16.1	-0.79	17.4	14.2	3.19
Kenyon Martin	71	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	8	-10	14.9	17.5	-2.53	16.5	18.3	-1.74
Jason Collins	52	49	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	9	-12	17.0	13.3	3.70	16.7	17.1	-0.37
Lucious Harris	34	35	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	-3	12	15.8	15.3	0.56	15.7	17.7	-1.92
Aaron Williams	19	20	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	-2	10	13.3	16.1	-2.81	16.5	17.0	-0.51
Zoran Planinic	15	15	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	1	4	15.8	15.4	0.39	15.4	17.2	-1.81
Brian Scalabrine	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	7	-8	19.5	15.2	4.31	18.0	16.8	1.17
Brandon Armstrong	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	6	-6	11.6	15.7	-4.11	14.7	17.0	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.59,0.4,0.6,0.81,0.66,0.78,0.73,1	92.0%
DEN 68, CHI 70	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	91.8%
IND 78, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.28,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.72,0.94,0.98,1	91.6%