NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	8.6 [153]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +40.0%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	2.3 [536]		LVP	Oscar Torres (HOU): -16.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	19	60%	0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	23	56%	0.05	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Dana Barros	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	6	40%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.08
Chucky Atkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.33	0.02	19	69%	0.51	3	-0.11	14	79%	0.03
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.12	0.00	8	75%	0.27	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.01	15	61%	0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.00	18	37%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	284.6	1.8	24.6	15.6	27.5	1.7	32.7	388.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +20.0%

HOU +10.4%

HOU +31.8%

DET -17.5%

HOU +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	15.4	17.5	15.6	111.5	112.5	102.3
season	15.7	16.8		101.9	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		106.4	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	16.3	13.5	16.3	15.4
HOU	16.3	17.2	17.8	18.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	32	32	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.09	3	-5	8	16.8	14.6	2.20	18.4	17.0	1.41
Corliss Williamson	52	54	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.23	12	-14	26	15.2	15.7	-0.54	18.7	15.7	2.99
Clifford Robinson	59	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-14	26	14.6	17.1	-2.58	17.4	17.7	-0.31
Zeljko Rebraca	40	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	3	-8	15.9	14.9	0.99	16.3	18.4	-2.12
Jerry Stackhouse	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.44	1	-3	4	14.7	20.5	-5.77	17.3	18.8	-1.45
Ben Wallace	67	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	1	-4	15.8	13.9	1.87	18.1	15.3	2.80
Michael Curry	16	14	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	8	-18	17.1	15.0	2.05	15.7	17.9	-2.14
Jon Barry	37	37	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	13	-28	16.3	14.7	1.62	17.1	17.8	-0.74
Chucky Atkins	55	55	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.51	-5	3	-8	14.6	16.8	-2.20	17.3	17.8	-0.54

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	42	42	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.49	14	-12	26	18.0	17.1	0.93	16.3	14.6	1.73
Kevin Willis	40	39	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.46	11	-9	20	17.6	17.4	0.25	16.7	14.3	2.36
Steve Francis	82	81	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	-2	6	17.6	15.8	1.80	15.5	14.2	1.31
Eddie Griffin	88	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	17.5	0.0	17.51	15.4	0.0	15.39
Cuttino Mobley	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.47	-6	8	-14	17.3	18.3	-1.09	14.8	17.4	-2.67
Oscar Torres	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	-5	12	16.4	18.1	-1.79	17.2	14.4	2.76
Terence Morris	46	46	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	10	-18	17.9	17.1	0.75	13.9	17.0	-3.09
Kelvin Cato	43	43	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.04	-14	16	-30	17.5	17.5	0.00	14.4	16.3	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.59,0.4,0.6,0.81,0.66,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 92, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.68,0.96,1	92.0%
DEN 68, CHI 70	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.84,1	91.8%
OKC 99, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.73,1	91.1%