NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	78		Excitement	7.0 [419]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +21.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Comeback	5.1 [320]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): -28.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaSalle Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04	-0.10	0.02	-0.04	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	4	58%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.10	0.01	15	64%	0.06	3	-0.13	9	78%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	8	63%	0.02	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	0.00	11	52%	-0.13	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.18,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.01	12	70%	0.27	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	133%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	-0.04	13	53%	0.02	1	0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	8	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Phills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	13	41%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.28	-0.28	-0.12	-0.16	0.01	8	30%	-0.17	2	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.6	30.2	15.6	27.4	1.6	35.0	134.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +8.9%

CLE +7.6%

CLE +16.5%

CLE +16.7%

CLE +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	18.1	15.6	90.7	102.4	104.4
season	15.3	17.8		103.6	102.1
opponent	16.1	16.3		100.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	15.2	16.2	16.4	16.0
CLE	18.0	17.7	18.0	18.8	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	55	55	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-9	11	16.6	15.0	1.53	17.8	18.6	-0.81
Fred Hoiberg	21	20	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-8	9	15.0	16.3	-1.28	16.0	18.8	-2.71
Erick Dampier	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-2	-3	14.7	16.2	-1.48	17.2	18.2	-1.03
Rik Smits	39	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-12	17	16.9	15.3	1.67	19.2	17.2	1.98
Travis Best	20	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	0	-7	15.4	16.2	-0.73	18.1	18.1	-0.07
Jalen Rose	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	1	-9	15.1	16.2	-1.04	18.6	18.0	0.60
Mark Jackson	69	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-10	13	15.9	16.3	-0.35	17.9	18.9	-1.03
Reggie Miller	70	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-11	15	16.3	14.9	1.40	18.6	15.4	3.15
LaSalle Thompson	5	3	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	1	-9	13.8	16.1	-2.35	14.0	18.3	-4.26
Antonio Davis	59	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	15.6	16.9	-1.28	18.2	18.0	0.22
Duane Ferrell	68	65	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.33	-16	9	-25	16.2	15.3	0.86	18.2	17.7	0.56

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	44	46	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.27	17	-10	27	18.2	18.1	0.11	16.3	15.7	0.63
Chris Mills	60	63	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-4	15	18.0	18.5	-0.51	16.2	15.6	0.55
Danny Ferry	64	66	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-1	9	17.9	18.9	-1.09	16.5	14.4	2.03
Terrell Brandon	63	66	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-3	13	18.4	17.1	1.26	15.4	18.0	-2.59
Tyrone Hill	64	67	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	7	-7	18.2	17.8	0.41	15.1	19.2	-4.11
Vitaly Potapenko	38	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	1	5	18.4	17.9	0.48	16.8	15.4	1.39
Donny Marshall	23	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.10	-4	11	-15	18.5	18.0	0.51	15.6	16.2	-0.55
Bobby Phills	59	60	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.00	-13	20	-33	17.7	19.0	-1.25	16.4	15.0	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.41,0.28,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.72,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.52,0.35,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.34,0.67,0.79,0.86,0.96,1	91.7%
ATL 92, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.68,0.96,1	91.6%
BOS 81, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.99,1	91.1%