NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	76		Excitement	7.9 [256]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +15.9%
San Antonio Spurs	84		Comeback	4.5 [448]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -25.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	13	52%	0.04	3	-0.13	7	86%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.1	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	27	52%	-0.02	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	9	33%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	10	23%	-0.11	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	14	21%	-0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.14	0.01	15	61%	0.21	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	35%	0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	12	75%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	20	53%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	11	42%	-0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	29.6	19.5	28.4	3.6	33.2	145.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +30.9%

SAS +6.3%

SAS +5.4%

SAS +0.0%

SAS +7.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	16.0	15.5	83.5	91.3	101.6
season	15.0	15.7		101.1	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		96.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.5	15.2	17.3	14.8	15.4
SAS	16.1	14.1	17.0	17.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	41	41	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.07	10	-18	28	15.0	15.8	-0.82	16.6	15.6	0.93
Bo Outlaw	15	15	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-14	20	12.3	16.0	-3.71	18.3	15.6	2.74
Casey Jacobsen	6	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-10	12	20.2	15.1	5.07	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Scott Williams	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	17.9	14.6	3.27	16.8	15.8	0.99
Shawn Marion	88	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	0	-8	15.4	16.3	-0.94	16.2	11.7	4.52
Joe Johnson	63	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	5	-18	15.2	15.9	-0.72	15.2	17.8	-2.61
Stephon Marbury	85	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	2	-12	15.1	20.2	-5.07	15.9	17.5	-1.56
Anfernee Hardaway	83	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.23	-13	5	-18	15.6	13.9	1.70	16.0	16.1	-0.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	52	52	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.39	-12	4	-16	15.7	15.1	0.66	15.7	16.5	-0.76

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	60	59	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.23	23	-15	38	14.9	18.2	-3.24	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Manu Ginobili	61	59	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.28	19	-11	30	15.2	17.8	-2.61	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Danny Ferry	59	60	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.27	18	-10	28	15.3	17.4	-2.11	16.8	12.7	4.07
Stephen Jackson	79	79	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.26	16	-8	24	15.6	18.9	-3.35	15.9	12.5	3.37
Tim Duncan	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	16.4	10.6	5.76	15.4	17.0	-1.64
Malik Rose	38	35	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	20	-32	16.5	15.7	0.78	13.2	16.8	-3.58
Tony Parker	32	32	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.04	-15	23	-38	18.2	14.9	3.24	15.6	15.3	0.25
Bruce Bowen	44	44	-0.56	1.06	-1.63	-0.01	-19	27	-46	18.1	14.1	3.97	15.3	15.5	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.53,0.62,0.72,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 116, DET 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.28,0.15,0.41,0.76,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.92,1	91.0%
DET 86, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,1	91.0%
ORL 85, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	90.6%