NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	7.1 [391]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +6.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	3.4 [616]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -21.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	70%	0.13	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.04	9	85%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	56%	0.00	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Bob Sura	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.2	-0.04	-0.16	-0.00	13	48%	-0.13	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	9	52%	-0.09	3	-0.12	11	73%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	23	58%	0.20	6	-0.21	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.04	-0.01	14	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.07	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	478.2	1.8	32.7	17.8	27.6	2.7	44.3	605.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.4%

DET -1.5%

PHI +6.6%

PHI +12.8%

DET -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.7	96.6	100.0	100.5
season	16.2	16.2		99.2	96.7
opponent	15.8	16.0		99.5	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.7	17.1	14.4	17.4	16.7
PHI	15.0	13.6	18.3	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-1	-2	15.1	17.4	-2.31	11.5	17.4	-5.96
Elden Campbell	21	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	18.3	16.2	2.12	15.7	15.5	0.23
Darvin Ham	7	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-2	0	18.1	16.5	1.61	19.4	15.2	4.24
Richard Hamilton	54	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-6	8	17.1	16.1	1.00	16.0	14.6	1.40
Tremaine Fowlkes	11	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-1	-2	16.5	16.7	-0.13	14.1	15.7	-1.60
Corliss Williamson	19	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	1	-6	16.4	16.7	-0.31	13.3	16.2	-2.86
Chauncey Billups	49	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-5	6	17.5	15.6	1.89	16.9	13.6	3.27
Mehmet Okur	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-5	6	15.9	18.0	-2.05	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Tayshaun Prince	77	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-5	6	16.4	18.1	-1.64	15.9	13.5	2.39
Bob Sura	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	1	-6	16.5	16.9	-0.44	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Ben Wallace	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	16.8	15.9	0.89	16.7	11.3	5.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	70	68	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-2	8	15.0	17.3	-2.29	16.8	16.2	0.62
John Salmons	45	43	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-4	12	14.4	16.6	-2.24	16.8	16.6	0.20
Eric Snow	61	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	2	0	16.6	13.2	3.47	16.5	16.9	-0.38
Allen Iverson	87	87	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	1	2	15.3	22.0	-6.70	16.6	20.5	-3.93
Derrick Coleman	52	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	1	2	17.2	13.3	3.86	17.5	15.5	1.92
Aaron McKie	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	0	4	13.0	18.2	-5.20	16.2	17.1	-0.86
Samuel Dalembert	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	1	2	14.8	15.9	-1.14	15.7	17.2	-1.45
Greg Buckner	1	0	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	0.0	15.7	-15.70	0.0	16.7	-16.66
Marc Jackson	57	59	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	10	-16	17.4	12.2	5.18	16.8	16.4	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, NOH 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.9,1	93.0%
ORL 85, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	92.8%
DEN 101, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.41,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.95,1	91.8%