NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	8.4 [150]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): +22.9%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	3.1 [429]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -21.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.02	9	33%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.00	12	69%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	13	46%	0.03	3	-0.11	11	82%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	12	38%	-0.05	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21	-0.03	-0.18	0.00	13	48%	0.02	3	-0.23	5	60%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.05,0.23	0.23	-0.02	0.24	-0.00	11	50%	0.38	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.03
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.15	-0.00	8	75%	0.26	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.14	0.01	12	57%	0.22	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	60%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	61%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,-0.01,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	-0.00	16	53%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	29.2	15.6	23.0	1.8	40.0	133.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.5%

HOU +14.4%

PHI -22.7%

HOU +9.5%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.6	92.6	98.9	102.8
season	15.6	15.4		101.0	103.5
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.2	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	11.5	19.1	15.3	15.2
HOU	15.5	15.2	15.2	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	36	37	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.18	-1	-5	4	13.7	16.1	-2.32	16.4	14.8	1.61
Tony Battie	37	33	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.04	-1	-5	4	16.4	14.4	2.02	15.9	15.2	0.65
Jodie Meeks	66	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-3	0	15.8	13.8	1.99	14.7	17.0	-2.31
Lavoy Allen	32	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-3	0	17.7	13.9	3.85	15.6	15.4	0.23
Louis Williams	66	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-12	18	14.6	16.6	-1.98	15.7	14.9	0.75
Nikola Vucevic	55	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-9	12	14.4	16.3	-1.93	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Thaddeus Young	61	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	14.4	16.6	-2.15	15.6	15.1	0.57
Andre Iguodala	74	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.29	-15	9	-24	15.5	13.8	1.69	15.0	16.8	-1.78
Jrue Holiday	43	45	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.49	-11	5	-16	14.9	15.4	-0.50	15.8	15.1	0.74

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	73	73	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-4	14	15.4	15.8	-0.45	14.6	17.1	-2.47
Courtney Lee	48	46	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	4	-2	16.4	14.5	1.87	13.8	16.5	-2.61
Luis Scola	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	0	6	15.1	16.3	-1.18	15.8	13.6	2.18
Kyle Lowry	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	3	0	15.3	15.9	-0.51	14.9	16.3	-1.42
Patrick Patterson	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	9	-12	15.5	15.4	0.16	14.7	15.8	-1.11
Chandler Parsons	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	-3	12	15.4	15.6	-0.19	17.0	13.2	3.71
Samuel Dalembert	54	55	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	7	-8	15.7	15.1	0.54	15.5	14.7	0.83
Goran Dragic	43	44	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	2	2	14.4	16.4	-1.96	16.3	14.2	2.18
Chase Budinger	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	17.7	15.1	2.59	11.5	15.8	-4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 85, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	92.7%
VAN 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.84,1	91.0%
LAL 84, POR 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	90.9%