NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	5.5 [750]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +21.1%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	1.4 [846]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -11.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.07	0.03	14	68%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.03	18	63%	0.13	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	15	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	13%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	13	43%	0.07	4	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.06	-0.00	14	71%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	9	85%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	57%	0.14	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.13	7	-0.17	2	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.5	27.8	15.0	21.2	2.6	31.0	122.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.0%

ATL -5.3%

PHX +1.7%

PHX +2.9%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	15.6	15.5	110.2	119.3	105.7
season	16.5	14.5		104.0	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.2	17.6	18.6	15.2	17.2
PHX	13.5	14.3	16.5	18.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	55	52	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-16	24	16.9	17.6	-0.72	16.1	14.9	1.20
Jeff Teague	38	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-3	-2	16.9	17.4	-0.47	14.0	16.8	-2.86
Jason Collins	8	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-2	-4	19.2	16.9	2.30	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Josh Smith	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	17.0	19.8	-2.80	15.5	16.0	-0.46
Damien Wilkins	49	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	0	-8	17.5	16.7	0.79	16.2	14.8	1.42
Al Horford	73	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	1	-10	16.7	19.3	-2.54	15.6	15.6	-0.04
Joe Johnson	74	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	-2	-4	17.3	16.5	0.78	15.3	17.2	-1.85
Jamal Crawford	60	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	1	-10	17.6	16.2	1.39	16.2	14.2	2.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	56	57	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.09	18	-10	28	16.2	14.5	1.68	17.6	16.3	1.39
Jared Dudley	56	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-1	10	16.2	14.4	1.83	17.3	16.8	0.49
Grant Hill	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	4	0	15.4	15.9	-0.48	17.6	16.4	1.27
Steve Nash	64	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.30	2	6	-4	15.4	16.0	-0.59	16.9	18.0	-1.18
Channing Frye	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	6	-4	15.4	15.9	-0.45	17.2	17.0	0.19
Hakim Warrick	30	29	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	2	4	15.9	15.4	0.45	17.0	17.2	-0.19
Goran Dragic	24	22	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	2	4	16.0	15.4	0.59	18.0	16.9	1.18
Mickael Pietrus	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.59	16.2	17.8	-1.60
Vince Carter	32	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	9	-10	14.4	16.2	-1.83	16.8	17.3	-0.49
Robin Lopez	30	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.15	-9	17	-26	15.2	15.8	-0.61	16.5	17.5	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.9,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	95.2%
BOS 83, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.77,0.68,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.85,1,1,1	93.2%
NOH 89, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.89,1,1,1	93.1%