NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	6.1 [566]		MVP	Eric Williams (BOS): +1.9%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.2 [385]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): -12.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.06	8	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.18,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.08	-0.01	18	41%	0.06	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	18%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.15,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	28	49%	-0.02	4	-0.09	19	84%	0.06

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	58%	-0.00	1	-0.01	10	60%	-0.03
Jay Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.06	-0.03	8	41%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	15	59%	0.12	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	15	53%	0.05	4	-0.10	15	73%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	17	47%	-0.03	3	-0.10	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.5	30.2	15.8	27.1	1.7	35.0	138.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.5%

BOS -0.1%

CHI +32.4%

BOS -25.5%

CHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.1	15.3	15.5	81.4	93.1	101.6
season	15.6	15.0		99.3	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.3	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.9	14.1	12.4	10.5	13.1
CHI	14.8	15.3	15.9	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	39	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-16	21	14.0	12.5	1.45	16.5	14.6	1.88
J.R. Bremer	56	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-13	15	11.2	15.3	-4.13	14.7	16.0	-1.23
Kedrick Brown	14	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-4	-3	13.8	13.0	0.82	13.1	15.7	-2.55
Bruno Sundov	17	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-5	-1	13.6	13.0	0.68	12.7	15.8	-3.10
Walter McCarty	54	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-10	9	11.6	14.7	-3.04	15.5	15.1	0.40
Tony Battie	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	12.3	13.6	-1.34	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Eric Williams	47	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-1	-9	13.0	13.1	-0.11	15.1	15.5	-0.35
Shammond Williams	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	2	-15	15.3	11.2	4.13	16.0	14.7	1.23
Paul Pierce	101	99	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-3	-5	13.1	8.0	5.13	15.2	21.5	-6.32
Antoine Walker	93	93	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	-2	-7	13.7	7.1	6.54	15.8	9.2	6.58

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	99	100	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	2	7	15.3	18.0	-2.75	13.0	17.0	-4.00
Jay Williams	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	6	-1	15.1	16.0	-0.87	13.1	13.2	-0.11
Donyell Marshall	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	0	11	15.0	16.0	-1.00	13.0	13.2	-0.15
Marcus Fizer	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	5	1	15.2	15.4	-0.22	11.9	14.8	-2.93
Trenton Hassell	70	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	2	7	14.3	17.5	-3.19	13.8	11.4	2.43
Eddie Robinson	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.11	2	9	-7	17.5	14.3	3.19	11.4	13.8	-2.43
Tyson Chandler	49	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	7	-3	15.0	15.6	-0.52	15.0	11.4	3.67
Eddy Curry	19	19	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	10	-9	17.3	14.8	2.47	12.1	13.3	-1.20
Jamal Crawford	25	25	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.12	6	5	1	16.0	15.1	0.87	13.2	13.1	0.11
Fred Hoiberg	2	2	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	9	-7	18.0	15.3	2.75	17.0	13.0	4.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.77,0.68,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.85,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	94.0%
WAS 95, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.98,1,0.98,1	93.6%
MIL 87, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.6%