NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	88		Excitement	2.5 [1251]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +8.5%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.1 [1085]		LVP	Dorell Wright (GSW): -7.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	59%	0.06	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	9	67%	0.09	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	18%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.04	12	62%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	13	31%	-0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.09	9	57%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	9	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.03	8	81%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	12	65%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	52%	0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zabian Dowdell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garret Siler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	9	44%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	78%	0.10	7	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	24.3	0.2	25.3	2.0	30.0	111.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.4%

PHX +2.0%

PHX +11.1%

GSW -7.8%

PHX +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.5	92.6	117.9	105.7
season	14.8	14.5		106.6	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.2		109.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	18.1	15.9	15.0	16.2	16.3
PHX	11.4	14.7	15.7	14.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-23	22	15.8	16.5	-0.77	16.1	13.1	2.99
Jeremy Lin	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-24	24	15.4	16.8	-1.47	15.8	13.0	2.76
Vladimir Radmanovic	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-23	22	16.1	16.4	-0.24	13.7	14.1	-0.36
Brandan Wright	46	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-22	20	16.6	16.0	0.57	15.4	12.8	2.62
Ekpe Udoh	60	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-25	26	16.4	16.1	0.24	15.0	12.5	2.42
Andris Biedrins	21	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-16	8	15.5	16.5	-0.99	13.4	14.2	-0.77
Reggie Williams	55	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-13	2	15.9	16.8	-0.92	15.2	12.5	2.73
Dorell Wright	46	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.30	-25	1	-26	16.8	15.8	1.03	12.4	15.6	-3.28
David Lee	51	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.30	-25	1	-26	16.7	15.8	0.85	12.7	15.6	-2.85
Monta Ellis	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	-2	-20	16.3	16.2	0.10	12.9	15.8	-2.98
Stephen Curry	50	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.25	-26	2	-28	16.8	15.8	1.02	12.6	15.6	-2.97

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	56	57	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	-3	30	13.6	14.7	-1.14	16.5	16.1	0.40
Grant Hill	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.24	22	2	20	13.2	15.0	-1.75	16.8	15.6	1.25
Steve Nash	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.17	19	5	14	12.8	15.7	-2.88	17.2	15.1	2.06
Robin Lopez	32	33	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.24	18	6	12	12.8	14.6	-1.78	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Mickael Pietrus	47	48	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	10	4	14.6	13.5	1.14	15.7	16.9	-1.10
Marcin Gortat	55	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	21	-18	14.9	12.8	2.15	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Vince Carter	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	17	-10	12.9	14.6	-1.73	16.4	16.3	0.09
Jared Dudley	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	17	-10	14.6	13.6	1.05	16.3	16.3	-0.07
Zabian Dowdell	41	41	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	19	-14	15.7	12.8	2.88	15.1	17.2	-2.06
Hakim Warrick	39	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	27	-30	14.7	13.6	1.14	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Josh Childress	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	15.6	13.7	1.98	16.1	16.3	-0.28
Garret Siler	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	21	-18	12.5	14.2	-1.66	19.1	16.0	3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 62, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
PHI 73, SEA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIN 91, POR 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%