NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	73		Excitement	2.5 [1195]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +6.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	1.1 [1231]		LVP	Jim Jackson (PHI): -10.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	7	56%	0.03	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rex Walters	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.20	-0.00	-0.09	11	33%	-0.05	6	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	72%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	14	34%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	22.3	14.7	29.2	1.8	26.2	119.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.5%

PHI -2.5%

PHI -1.3%

SEA +9.9%

SEA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SEA	NBA	PHI	SEA	NBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.6	80.2	98.9	102.5
season	15.4	15.3		99.7	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.5		102.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	18.3	16.5	14.3	16.1
SEA	15.6	15.2	17.0	14.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	19	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-25	33	12.6	17.0	-4.46	13.3	16.2	-2.80
Rex Walters	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	15.1	16.3	-1.22	13.4	16.0	-2.63
Terry Cummings	29	29	-0.14	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-15	13	16.5	15.9	0.60	16.1	15.3	0.88
Mark Davis	30	29	-0.18	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-10	3	17.7	15.3	2.42	15.0	15.8	-0.84
Clar. Weatherspoon	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-11	5	17.5	15.4	2.02	15.6	15.5	0.07
Theo Ratliff	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-6	-5	15.6	17.0	-1.42	16.0	14.6	1.35
Aaron McKie	45	45	-0.32	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-6	-5	16.9	15.3	1.54	15.9	15.2	0.65
Tim Thomas	61	62	-0.33	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-10	-7	-3	15.3	17.7	-2.42	15.8	15.0	0.84
Allen Iverson	45	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-3	-11	16.4	15.8	0.53	16.6	14.6	1.99
Jim Jackson	70	72	-0.49	-0.02	-0.47	0.19	-23	6	-29	16.4	15.3	1.07	15.5	15.5	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	57	57	0.53	-0.02	0.55	-0.27	27	-10	37	16.2	14.4	1.89	17.2	14.3	2.85
Jim McIlvaine	53	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.16	21	-4	25	16.7	13.9	2.82	17.1	14.7	2.33
Vin Baker	52	51	0.41	0.10	0.31	-0.24	22	-5	27	16.9	13.7	3.23	16.4	15.8	0.60
Gary Payton	60	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.16	19	-2	21	16.3	14.1	2.24	17.0	14.4	2.56
Hersey Hawkins	49	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.23	20	-3	23	16.9	14.0	2.90	16.3	15.9	0.47
Dale Ellis	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	7	3	15.2	15.9	-0.72	17.0	15.1	1.97
Sam Perkins	36	36	0.33	0.18	0.15	-0.02	12	5	7	15.2	15.8	-0.57	18.0	14.9	3.17
Greg Anthony	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	19	-21	14.1	16.3	-2.24	14.4	17.0	-2.56
Aaron Williams	43	43	0.11	0.40	-0.29	0.14	-1	18	-19	13.6	17.3	-3.75	15.7	16.5	-0.87
David Wingate	29	30	0.08	0.43	-0.35	0.17	-3	20	-23	13.7	16.4	-2.66	16.0	16.1	-0.11
Eric Snow	20	19	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.23	-8	25	-33	13.3	16.2	-2.80	12.6	17.0	-4.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 74, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
GSW 85, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
BKN 105, BOS 121	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%