NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	85		Excitement	2.8 [1205]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +15.5%
San Antonio Spurs	107		Comeback	1.0 [1252]		LVP	Patrick McCaw (GSW): -9.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ian Clark	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.20	-0.00	0.17	21	75%	0.08	4	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.07	11	54%	0.06	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	7	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	48%	-0.00	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	8	12%	-0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.17	-0.00	-0.07	12	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.00	0.01	13	81%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.00	-0.03	7	81%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.00	0.08	7	81%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	69%	0.04	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	-0.07	8	45%	0.04	5	-0.06	6	67%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	30.2	16.8	26.4	3.4	26.6	132.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +53.4%

SAS +2.2%

GSW -4.1%

GSW -3.1%

SAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	14.8	87.6	110.3	107.7
season	13.5	15.4		114.9	110.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		103.7	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.1	15.5	14.6	16.1	15.1
SAS	14.2	13.8	14.2	16.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	11	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-27	32	13.1	15.3	-2.21	16.5	14.3	2.19
David West	31	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-16	10	12.3	16.4	-4.11	14.2	14.9	-0.65
Damian Jones	41	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-19	16	16.0	14.3	1.73	14.7	14.6	0.06
James Michael McAdoo	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-13	4	15.5	14.7	0.77	14.7	14.6	0.05
Kevon Looney	32	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	-9	-4	17.2	14.0	3.19	15.5	14.2	1.29
Ian Clark	68	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-14	6	14.5	16.3	-1.80	14.8	14.3	0.52
Zaza Pachulia	41	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.20	-18	-4	-14	15.1	15.0	0.12	14.4	14.8	-0.32
Shaun Livingston	58	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-5	-12	15.1	15.0	0.04	14.0	15.6	-1.64
Matt Barnes	72	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	-2	-18	14.8	15.7	-0.85	14.6	14.6	0.04
Patrick McCaw	85	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.19	-21	-1	-20	15.4	12.7	2.72	14.6	15.1	-0.51

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.17	20	2	18	14.7	14.5	0.25	15.4	14.3	1.15
Patty Mills	43	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.25	21	1	20	13.4	15.6	-2.19	15.4	14.7	0.73
David Lee	35	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	6	10	14.1	14.9	-0.82	15.6	14.7	0.88
Danny Green	41	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.19	16	6	10	14.4	14.8	-0.47	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Dewayne Dedmon	46	45	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.14	14	8	6	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Manu Ginobili	41	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	13	-4	14.3	14.9	-0.56	14.1	15.7	-1.54
Bryn Forbes	51	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	16	-10	14.9	14.3	0.60	15.2	14.9	0.27
Pau Gasol	45	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	15	-8	14.1	15.1	-1.07	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Davis Bertans	39	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	23	-24	14.9	14.4	0.52	15.4	14.8	0.58
Jonathon Simmons	53	52	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	23	-24	15.4	13.7	1.67	15.3	14.8	0.51
Joel Anthony	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	19	-16	16.2	14.1	2.17	15.5	14.9	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 77, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIL 86, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 77, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%