inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 62 Excitement2.6 [1206] MVPJ.R. Bremer (BOS): +5.3%
Boston Celtics 90 Comeback1.0 [1227] LVPRasual Butler (MIA): -12.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vladimir Stepania0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.031145%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ken Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sean Lampley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01175%0.001-0.00250%0.00
Mike James-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04275%0.003-0.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.05847%-0.003-0.001100%0.00
Eddie House-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.051132%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Travis Best-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Malik Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Caron Butler-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.000.031653%-0.013-0.042100%-0.00
Brian Grant-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01837%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.03333%0.003-0.0600%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.18-0.01-0.061015%-0.094-0.0400%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Bremer0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00-0.041045%0.0500.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.08-0.000.041964%0.082-0.04650%-0.02
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.071142%0.041-0.012100%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01756%0.0200.002100%0.00
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02283%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.050.000.07667%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kedrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.05714%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.01-0.031146%0.013-0.0620%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.03.225.415.424.42.323.8114.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +38.5%
BOS +0.8%
BOS +1.8%
BOS +9.1%
MIA -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game17.515.615.571.3103.4101.6
season16.315.694.699.3
opponent15.515.999.9100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.918.418.616.117.5
BOS14.414.416.617.415.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ken Johnson16160.00-0.500.50-0.062-303215.617.9-2.3217.015.31.66
LaPhonso Ellis2827-0.02-0.480.460.21-8-201216.318.0-1.7317.414.92.50
Malik Allen1616-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-282817.817.40.4316.215.50.67
Mike James3030-0.04-0.460.410.25-10-18816.418.0-1.5716.615.11.51
Travis Best1415-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-272618.517.31.2416.715.41.24
Eddie House4243-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-282816.518.4-1.9016.514.81.72
Sean Lampley3332-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-231817.417.5-0.1515.115.9-0.82
Rasual Butler4040-0.32-0.18-0.130.39-24-4-2017.717.30.4415.216.0-0.78
Anthony Carter4342-0.41-0.09-0.320.09-17-11-617.817.10.7514.616.6-2.07
Vladimir Stepania5555-0.42-0.08-0.340.37-27-1-2618.116.41.6215.416.1-0.66
Brian Grant5354-0.45-0.05-0.410.10-19-9-1017.916.81.1414.417.7-3.36
Caron Butler6565-0.500.00-0.510.40-313-3418.015.82.2015.715.60.07

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Walker50500.440.060.39-0.172171414.317.4-3.1118.016.71.32
J.R. Bremer46470.430.070.36-0.071711615.016.4-1.3718.116.71.45
Paul Pierce59590.420.080.34-0.4329-13015.216.7-1.5318.116.02.10
Mark Blount38390.400.100.30-0.272351815.116.0-0.9118.216.81.40
Eric Williams40400.250.25-0.01-0.081117-615.016.2-1.1517.617.40.21
Walter McCarty27280.240.26-0.03-0.291810814.716.1-1.3617.717.30.43
Tony Battie30300.090.41-0.31-0.321414016.015.40.5917.517.50.01
Tony Delk49480.090.41-0.31-0.201018-816.314.71.6116.618.6-2.00
Kedrick Brown34330.080.42-0.340.08028-2816.814.91.8917.017.7-0.69
Grant Long37370.060.44-0.39-0.15721-1417.414.33.1116.718.0-1.32
Bimbo Coles16160.000.50-0.500.06-230-3217.015.31.6615.617.9-2.32
Mark Bryant980.000.50-0.500.23-836-4418.015.42.6314.117.8-3.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 86, MIA 1120.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
GSW 88, PHX 1120.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
NYK 68, VAN 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%