NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	8.2 [220]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +47.9%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	2.4 [694]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -22.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.48	0.16	0.32	-0.00	12	74%	0.48	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.22,0.22,0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.00	14	63%	0.24	1	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Brian Cardinal	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	70%	0.18	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	64%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.07	0.02	6	81%	0.12	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	14	32%	-0.15	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.16	0.22	-0.00	8	87%	0.44	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.06
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	8	63%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.02	7	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	16	51%	0.04	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	19	38%	-0.14	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.6	31.7	17.6	24.0	2.6	40.2	143.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +74.8%

SAC -23.5%

DAL +0.8%

SAC -12.8%

DAL +10.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.7	15.0	15.5	108.5	106.4	105.7
season	15.7	14.9		108.5	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.7	13.3	15.6	18.3	15.7
SAC	13.0	15.4	16.4	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	58	61	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.31	12	-10	22	15.4	16.2	-0.79	15.2	14.5	0.68
Tyson Chandler	54	55	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-3	8	16.0	15.2	0.75	15.2	14.7	0.50
Jose Juan Barea	42	43	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	16.1	15.3	0.79	14.7	15.2	-0.56
Jason Kidd	65	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	2	-2	15.8	15.4	0.39	15.5	13.9	1.52
Brian Cardinal	17	16	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-10	22	17.9	15.2	2.69	16.3	14.7	1.63
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.43	-8	10	-18	15.6	15.8	-0.18	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Peja Stojakovic	43	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	-1	4	15.0	16.3	-1.25	13.9	15.8	-1.96
Shawn Marion	43	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	3	-4	15.9	15.5	0.46	14.8	15.1	-0.39
Brendan Haywood	40	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	5	-8	15.2	16.0	-0.75	14.7	15.2	-0.50
DeShawn Stevenson	40	39	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.09	-12	14	-26	15.1	16.1	-1.05	15.4	14.7	0.69

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	48	51	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-6	10	14.4	15.6	-1.23	15.7	15.7	0.01
Beno Udrih	62	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.35	11	-13	24	15.4	14.1	1.26	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Donte Greene	21	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	14.3	15.1	-0.80	12.2	16.6	-4.35
Carl Landry	39	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	1	-4	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.2	16.0	-0.86
Jason Thompson	38	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-2	2	14.7	15.1	-0.41	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Pooh Jeter	25	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	13.5	15.5	-2.01	16.7	15.3	1.38
DeMarcus Cousins	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-3	4	15.2	14.0	1.29	15.8	15.1	0.67
Tyreke Evans	81	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-1	0	15.1	14.2	0.84	16.0	13.7	2.31
Samuel Dalembert	37	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.42	-2	0	-2	14.7	15.1	-0.42	17.2	14.7	2.49
Luther Head	47	44	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.42	-14	12	-26	15.4	14.5	0.89	15.8	15.6	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, BKN 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.24,0.37,0.45,0.16,0	91.7%
PHX 72, SAS 70	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.27,0	91.7%
TOR 94, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.04,0	91.6%