NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	7.4 [331]		MVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): +15.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	2.1 [274]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -19.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.09	0.02	17	66%	0.22	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Donyell Marshall	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	16	56%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,0.01,0.06,0.06	-0.06	0.12	-0.00	16	52%	0.13	3	-0.07	10	80%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	9	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Lonny Baxter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.05	-0.00	8	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	54%	0.02	4	-0.12	10	100%	0.07
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	12	37%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	11	26%	-0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	17	41%	0.02	4	-0.21	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	25.5	15.8	27.2	2.5	32.2	130.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +53.7%

LAC -14.5%

LAC -25.0%

TOR +28.2%

TOR +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	17.2	15.4	15.7	106.8	98.9	100.5
season	16.8	15.5		94.8	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	18.5	16.8	17.5	17.2
LAC	18.3	15.0	13.2	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	63	64	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-5	16	16.8	18.2	-1.46	16.2	13.3	2.84
Jalen Rose	80	79	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-6	18	16.6	23.5	-6.94	15.2	17.0	-1.85
Vince Carter	74	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-5	16	16.9	19.0	-2.15	15.6	13.7	1.95
Alvin Williams	63	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-1	8	15.9	20.5	-4.59	15.3	15.6	-0.36
Michael Curry	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	0	6	17.8	16.5	1.37	14.7	16.1	-1.37
Morris Peterson	30	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	19.2	16.1	3.10	14.0	16.1	-2.05
Lonny Baxter	17	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	16.7	17.3	-0.60	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Chris Bosh	59	57	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	12	-18	18.1	15.4	2.60	15.7	14.8	0.85
Milt Palacio	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	23.5	16.6	6.94	16.9	15.2	1.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	44	45	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-9	12	14.7	16.0	-1.25	19.5	14.8	4.74
Chris Kaman	30	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-11	16	18.2	13.9	4.34	20.3	15.7	4.54
Chris Wilcox	45	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-3	0	15.8	14.9	0.89	18.2	16.2	2.01
Glen Rice	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-1	-4	16.5	15.2	1.35	19.9	16.8	3.10
Quentin Richardson	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-5	4	15.2	16.5	-1.35	16.8	19.9	-3.10
Elton Brand	68	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-4	2	15.2	16.0	-0.78	16.2	20.3	-4.11
Corey Maggette	60	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	5	-16	13.9	18.4	-4.53	15.6	20.9	-5.28
Bobby Simmons	55	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	2	-10	15.2	15.6	-0.32	16.9	17.6	-0.69
Marko Jaric	54	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.39	-8	2	-10	15.9	14.5	1.39	16.2	18.7	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.08,0	91.6%
CLE 86, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.05,0	91.6%
POR 101, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.16,0.03,0.05,0	91.5%