NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	103		Excitement	7.6 [326]		MVP	Josh McRoberts (IND): +19.0%
Indiana Pacers	104		Comeback	1.6 [774]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -18.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eduardo Najera	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	89%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	15	61%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.10
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Sherron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	13	44%	-0.07	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,-0.18	0.07	-0.23	0.02	20	59%	-0.10	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.14	0.01	8	57%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	17	66%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.06	-0.00	19	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	18%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	14	54%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	31.4	15.5	25.4	2.6	38.2	135.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +22.6%

IND +12.0%

IND +6.2%

IND +1.5%

IND +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.5	109.6	110.6	105.7
season	16.2	14.7		102.3	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.6	17.8	15.7	14.5	16.1
IND	12.7	14.3	13.8	17.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	0	-1	22.5	16.0	6.50	26.5	14.2	12.26
Sherron Collins	5	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	0	-1	17.6	16.1	1.54	17.6	14.3	3.27
Shaun Livingston	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-2	3	16.5	16.0	0.49	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Nazr Mohammed	55	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	5	-11	16.5	15.7	0.76	13.3	16.1	-2.79
Gerald Henderson	45	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-3	5	15.9	16.3	-0.39	15.4	13.7	1.64
Boris Diaw	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	7	-15	16.2	16.1	0.11	13.3	16.9	-3.63
Eduardo Najera	46	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-4	7	16.3	16.0	0.24	15.5	13.5	2.02
D.J. Augustin	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.35	-1	0	-1	15.9	16.7	-0.82	14.3	15.1	-0.78
Stephen Jackson	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.51	4	-5	9	16.2	15.6	0.61	15.0	11.9	3.11
Gerald Wallace	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-3	5	15.7	20.1	-4.39	14.4	15.3	-0.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	78	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	1	-1	14.1	16.6	-2.56	16.3	15.4	0.96
Roy Hibbert	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	-1	3	14.7	13.9	0.80	15.8	17.0	-1.16
Josh McRoberts	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.40	-2	3	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.15	15.7	17.2	-1.51
Darren Collison	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.40	-3	4	-7	14.5	14.5	0.02	15.6	17.4	-1.89
Mike Dunleavy	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	4	-7	14.0	15.5	-1.42	15.6	17.2	-1.56
Paul George	31	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	-2	5	15.5	14.0	1.42	17.2	15.6	1.56
A.J. Price	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	-3	7	14.5	14.5	-0.02	17.4	15.6	1.89
Tyler Hansbrough	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	-2	5	14.6	14.5	0.15	17.2	15.7	1.51
Dahntay Jones	16	17	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	0	1	16.6	14.1	2.56	15.4	16.3	-0.96
Jeff Foster	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	1	-1	13.9	14.7	-0.80	17.0	15.8	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.67,0.8,0.92,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.9,0.84,1	93.2%
DET 85, CHH 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.96,1	93.2%
DEN 89, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.74,1	93.2%