NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	10.3 [48]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (NOH): +66.6%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	21.9 [79]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): -25.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.14	0.02	8	67%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Greivis Vasquez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	58%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.07	0.00	20	41%	0.09	1	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.10	-0.09	-0.00	11	85%	0.43	4	-0.41	4	75%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.09	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.19	-0.02	-0.20	-0.03	23	42%	-0.17	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.67	0.67	0.11	0.56	0.00	10	77%	0.71	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	15	58%	0.22	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.2,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	14	59%	0.16	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.10	4	25%	-0.15
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26	-0.26	-0.05	-0.20	0.01	12	33%	-0.26	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.2	31.5	15.8	26.2	2.6	29.0	1.8	13.7	149.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +17.7%

MEM -0.2%

MEM -8.1%

NOH +47.3%

MEM -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	17.6	15.9	15.5	107.4	108.4	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		106.1	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	17.5	18.3	16.6	19.1	15.7	17.6
NOH	15.2	16.9	14.7	16.9	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	30	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-2	3	18.1	17.4	0.70	16.2	15.7	0.51
Hasheem Thabeet	15	17	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.03	-1	0	-1	18.1	17.5	0.53	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Sam Young	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-2	3	17.9	17.3	0.60	15.4	16.3	-0.84
Zach Randolph	75	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.49	11	-12	23	17.6	17.5	0.09	16.0	15.2	0.79
Darrell Arthur	28	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	7	-15	17.3	17.7	-0.42	15.4	16.0	-0.62
O.J. Mayo	47	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-1	1	17.3	17.9	-0.60	16.3	15.4	0.85
Mike Conley	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.55	3	-4	7	17.5	18.0	-0.57	15.9	15.8	0.13
Marc Gasol	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	3	-7	17.6	17.6	0.02	16.0	15.5	0.44
Rudy Gay	90	89	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	7	-15	17.6	18.4	-0.82	15.7	18.0	-2.29

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	38	40	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.47	12	-11	23	16.2	15.6	0.55	17.6	17.6	0.05
David West	80	80	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.60	2	-1	3	15.8	16.3	-0.57	17.5	18.0	-0.45
Trevor Ariza	87	86	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.44	7	-6	13	15.7	17.6	-1.94	17.4	20.1	-2.75
Chris Paul	74	76	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	3	-5	15.9	15.8	0.06	17.7	17.4	0.32
Aaron Gray	13	13	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	-5	11	14.4	16.1	-1.70	18.7	17.5	1.24
Emeka Okafor	69	69	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	0	1	16.0	15.5	0.43	17.9	16.9	0.96
Jarrett Jack	30	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	1	-1	16.1	15.7	0.41	18.3	17.3	0.94
Willie Green	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	-1	3	14.8	16.1	-1.25	18.0	17.5	0.45
Quincy Pondexter	8	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	7	-13	17.6	15.7	1.94	20.1	17.4	2.75
Marco Belinelli	32	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	11	-21	15.7	15.9	-0.25	16.6	18.1	-1.49
Jason Smith	19	18	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.15	-8	9	-17	16.8	15.6	1.17	17.2	17.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.3,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, NOH 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.62,0.28,0.33,0.02,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.57,0.27,1	89.2%
HOU 117, POR 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.57,0.58,1	88.0%
DET 100, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.68,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.74,1	87.7%