inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 102 Excitement10.3 [48] MVPMarcus Thornton (NOH): +66.6%
New Orleans Hornets 103 Comeback21.9 [79] LVPTrevor Ariza (NOH): -25.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0.200,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.070.140.02867%0.2000.002100%0.03
Greivis Vasquez0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.05-0.01558%0.101-0.042100%0.01
Zach Randolph0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.050.070.002041%0.091-0.071100%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.03-0.01633%0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.010.10-0.09-0.001185%0.434-0.41475%-0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011050%0.093-0.1500%0.00
Sam Young-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.05-0.01743%0.012-0.1000%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.190,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.19-0.02-0.20-0.032342%-0.171-0.02667%-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.670.670.110.560.001077%0.711-0.042100%0.02
David West0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.070.001558%0.222-0.113100%0.02
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.2,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.090.090.050.040.001459%0.162-0.076100%0.03
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.000.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.01-0.01350%0.0000.002100%0.01
Aaron Gray00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.04-0.00533%0.011-0.0220%-0.03
Marco Belinelli0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00757%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.01950%0.022-0.10425%-0.15
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26-0.26-0.05-0.200.011233%-0.2600.00978%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.22.231.515.826.22.629.01.813.7149.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +17.7%
MEM -0.2%
MEM -8.1%
NOH +47.3%
MEM -6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMNOHNBAMEMNOHNBA
this game17.615.915.5107.4108.4105.7
season15.516.2106.1104.6
opponent15.915.5104.4103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM17.518.316.619.115.717.6
NOH15.216.914.716.915.915.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greivis Vasquez30300.08-0.580.660.051-2318.117.40.7016.215.70.51
Hasheem Thabeet15170.01-0.510.510.03-10-118.117.50.5315.416.0-0.61
Sam Young4848-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-2317.917.30.6015.416.3-0.84
Zach Randolph7574-0.17-0.330.17-0.4911-122317.617.50.0916.015.20.79
Darrell Arthur2827-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.06-87-1517.317.7-0.4215.416.0-0.62
O.J. Mayo4748-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.360-1117.317.9-0.6016.315.40.85
Mike Conley7070-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.553-4717.518.0-0.5715.915.80.13
Marc Gasol7272-0.540.04-0.58-0.42-43-717.617.60.0216.015.50.44
Rudy Gay9089-0.670.17-0.83-0.43-87-1517.618.4-0.8215.718.0-2.29

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Thornton38400.83-0.331.150.4712-112316.215.60.5517.617.60.05
David West80800.66-0.160.810.602-1315.816.3-0.5717.518.0-0.45
Trevor Ariza87860.64-0.140.790.447-61315.717.6-1.9417.420.1-2.75
Chris Paul74760.400.100.300.46-23-515.915.80.0617.717.40.32
Aaron Gray13130.130.37-0.23-0.046-51114.416.1-1.7018.717.51.24
Emeka Okafor69690.090.41-0.310.0610116.015.50.4317.916.90.96
Jarrett Jack30290.020.48-0.460.0201-116.115.70.4118.317.30.94
Willie Green16150.000.50-0.50-0.062-1314.816.1-1.2518.017.50.45
Quincy Pondexter89-0.140.64-0.790.03-67-1317.615.71.9420.117.42.75
Marco Belinelli3230-0.250.75-1.000.04-1011-2115.715.9-0.2516.618.1-1.49
Jason Smith1918-0.380.88-1.27-0.15-89-1716.815.61.1717.217.7-0.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.3,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 99, NOH 1020.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.62,0.28,0.33,0.02,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.57,0.27,189.2%
HOU 117, POR 1190.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.57,0.58,188.0%
DET 100, PHI 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.68,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.74,187.7%