NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	11.4 [12]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +15.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	26.3 [22]		LVP	Grant Hill (DET): -53.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Laettner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	8	50%	0.24	1	-0.14	4	100%	0.10
Don Reid	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	-0.06	0.10	-0.00	11	62%	0.28	5	-0.23	12	92%	0.07
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	15	60%	0.11	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	7	52%	-0.12	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.08
Grant Hill	-0.54	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.31,-0.31,-0.43,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.54,-0.54	-0.10	-0.45	-0.01	22	52%	-0.08	6	-0.45	8	87%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.00	18	54%	0.25	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	15	62%	0.25	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Harvey Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.07	-0.00	10	35%	0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.05,-0.26,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.13	-0.01	28	50%	-0.09	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Matt Geiger	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	20	48%	0.06	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	27.5	15.6	27.2	1.7	45.3	0.8	13.2	159.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -7.7%

DET -17.7%

PHI +37.3%

PHI +35.9%

PHI +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.8	97.1	102.9	99.6
season	16.6	15.6		101.4	97.0
opponent	15.9	16.1		94.8	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	13.4	15.5	15.6	16.2	13.6	15.0
PHI	15.4	15.8	16.4	15.1	19.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bison Dele	28	29	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.02	11	-16	27	15.3	14.9	0.45	18.8	14.9	3.90
Eric Montross	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.05	1	-6	7	14.3	15.0	-0.76	18.6	15.9	2.72
Joe Dumars	18	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	13.9	15.2	-1.27	13.7	16.6	-2.91
Lindsey Hunter	92	90	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-12	19	14.8	16.4	-1.54	15.8	17.6	-1.75
Jerome Williams	89	85	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	14.9	15.6	-0.76	16.3	14.8	1.53
Grant Hill	83	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.47	6	-11	17	15.2	14.0	1.17	16.4	14.3	2.12
Don Reid	20	17	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	9	-23	14.5	15.1	-0.61	12.2	16.8	-4.56
Jud Buechler	46	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	11	-27	15.3	14.8	0.49	15.7	16.3	-0.59
Christian Laettner	60	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	2	-9	15.4	14.3	1.10	15.6	16.6	-1.00
Jerry Stackhouse	73	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	14.7	15.8	-1.14	16.1	15.9	0.24

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	71	74	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.32	20	-15	35	15.5	17.2	-1.66	15.2	14.5	0.71
Matt Geiger	83	86	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.54	2	3	-1	16.1	15.6	0.50	14.3	18.5	-4.17
Eric Snow	89	90	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	4	-3	16.3	14.3	1.98	15.3	12.8	2.45
Allen Iverson	97	98	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	16.0	16.8	-0.80	14.8	17.8	-2.95
Tyrone Hill	71	71	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	2	1	16.9	14.1	2.84	15.7	13.5	2.21
Aaron McKie	28	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	8	-11	13.9	16.9	-2.96	13.7	15.4	-1.79
Harvey Grant	5	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	2	1	13.4	16.2	-2.78	11.5	15.2	-3.71
George Lynch	37	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	5	-5	15.9	16.1	-0.23	15.1	14.9	0.19
Theo Ratliff	29	30	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	10	-15	17.0	15.7	1.29	16.1	14.5	1.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.68,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.23,0.41,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.74,1	88.2%
MEM 102, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.3,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.42,1	87.7%
LAL 85, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.7,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.57,1	87.6%