inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 99 Excitement12.1 [10] MVPDarren Collison (NOH): +43.1%
New Orleans Hornets 102 Comeback48.5 [31] LVPBrandon Jennings (MIL): -23.7%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Ridnour0.320,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.120.19-0.011568%0.341-0.024100%0.03
Hakim Warrick0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.230.050.18-0.011559%0.443-0.20757%-0.09
Jodie Meeks0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00736%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.011057%0.073-0.1010%-0.01
Dan Gadzuric-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00217%-0.051-0.01250%-0.01
Kurt Thomas-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12-0.01-0.110.00650%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Michael Redd-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18-0.11-0.10-0.031632%-0.132-0.052100%0.02
Ersan Ilyasova-0.200,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.11-0.070.021025%-0.152-0.0500%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.240,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24-0.14-0.10-0.011539%0.125-0.35683%0.06

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darren Collison0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.430.43-0.030.46-0.011256%0.635-0.20887%0.03
David West0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.090.090.080.020.011957%0.173-0.089100%0.05
Devin Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.040.04-0.040.06-0.021152%0.134-0.093100%0.04
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.020.00853%0.0200.001100%0.02
Bobby Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.030.00658%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00644%0.021-0.05667%-0.03
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.00650%0.103-0.1900%0.00
Marcus Thornton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.09-0.00533%-0.064-0.132100%0.01
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.10-0.12-0.011629%-0.181-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.52.627.115.827.22.537.52.515.1157.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL -9.1%
NOH +40.9%
NOH +14.8%
MIL -0.4%
NOH +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILNOHNBAMILNOHNBA
this game14.114.615.389.291.9106.0
season15.515.5103.3106.0
opponent15.215.5108.3101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL10.515.514.217.313.714.1
NOH13.517.213.514.016.314.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Delfino61600.18-0.680.86-0.037-101712.516.0-3.5614.514.7-0.19
Dan Gadzuric3129-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-1-112.214.8-2.5913.115.1-2.05
Kurt Thomas7069-0.25-0.250.00-0.281-4513.914.3-0.4415.513.12.44
Brandon Jennings6669-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.15-52-714.513.41.0413.915.7-1.82
Michael Redd6060-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.352-5714.014.1-0.0615.413.61.74
Ersan Ilyasova4749-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.13-63-913.914.2-0.2913.515.5-2.00
Luke Ridnour8786-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.463-6914.911.23.7015.212.62.56
Hakim Warrick6666-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.42-2-1-115.012.62.4215.014.00.98
Charlie Bell6767-0.680.18-0.87-0.24-1512-2714.313.70.5614.015.4-1.36

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darren Collison79800.60-0.100.700.378-51314.115.8-1.7714.014.3-0.32
David West92920.57-0.070.640.348-51314.614.50.0713.417.2-3.80
Darius Songaila51510.470.030.440.4121115.613.71.8515.213.12.13
Emeka Okafor58590.440.060.390.247-41113.216.1-2.8913.614.5-0.89
Marcus Thornton41380.350.150.200.0311-81914.014.9-0.8516.113.03.11
James Posey55540.240.26-0.030.124-1515.713.52.1516.112.14.02
Bobby Brown20190.080.42-0.340.0221116.214.22.0316.513.62.91
Peja Stojakovic83840.070.43-0.370.18-47-1114.116.0-1.8413.117.1-4.08
Devin Brown57580.050.45-0.400.26-710-1714.115.1-1.1012.216.1-3.85
Sean Marks1112-0.180.68-0.850.03-710-1717.614.23.3913.714.1-0.44
Morris Peterson88-0.190.69-0.880.08-912-2118.614.34.3513.114.1-1.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.62,0.28,0.33,0.02,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.57,0.27,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 102, NOH 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.3,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.42,189.2%
HOU 117, POR 1190.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.57,0.58,187.7%
LAL 99, NJN 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.32,0.04,087.3%