inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 94 Excitement6.1 [615] MVPLamar Odom (LAL): +15.7%
Los Angeles Lakers 101 Comeback1.6 [828] LVPJeff Green (OKC): -13.9%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Collison0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.02-0.00580%0.0800.0000%0.00
Nenad Krstic0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Harden0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.001141%0.0100.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.010.04-0.030.032356%0.114-0.131173%0.01
Eric Maynor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.060.00761%0.031-0.06475%-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.012444%-0.002-0.057100%0.03
Jeff Green-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14-0.09-0.06-0.011127%-0.121-0.0200%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.04-0.00976%0.181-0.02367%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.03-0.041065%0.1220.013100%0.02
Pau Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.070.070.020.04-0.001949%0.091-0.025100%0.03
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001150%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.03-0.021260%0.155-0.101155%-0.03
Andrew Bynum0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01862%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00644%-0.001-0.04450%-0.02
Shannon Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01933%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.63.431.418.729.22.735.2145.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +51.9%
LAL +4.5%
OKC -2.0%
OKC -5.8%
LAL +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCLALNBAOKCLALNBA
this game14.317.415.5103.3111.0105.7
season15.015.9108.8108.8
opponent15.515.6103.1105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.815.613.615.414.3
LAL16.716.419.117.417.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison42410.17-0.670.83-0.1912-193114.314.20.0917.917.00.89
Eric Maynor12120.05-0.550.60-0.012-91115.414.11.3015.017.7-2.72
Serge Ibaka6463-0.03-0.470.44-0.278-152314.314.20.0917.417.40.01
James Harden5353-0.08-0.420.35-0.349-162514.713.71.0817.816.80.98
Thabo Sefolosha3838-0.42-0.08-0.350.04-169-2513.714.7-1.0816.817.8-0.98
Nenad Krstic3130-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.01-169-2514.514.20.2517.617.30.30
Kevin Durant8181-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.31-6-1-514.016.6-2.6017.218.4-1.17
Russell Westbrook7979-0.550.05-0.60-0.29-92-1114.115.4-1.3017.715.02.72
Jeff Green5558-0.670.17-0.83-0.11-1912-3114.513.90.6617.117.8-0.76

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol78760.71-0.210.930.2117-102717.417.00.4214.513.11.46
Derek Fisher59570.57-0.070.640.1913-61917.217.7-0.4514.414.10.27
Kobe Bryant64610.480.020.450.1511-41517.317.4-0.1214.314.3-0.07
Metta World Peace72710.370.130.240.2252317.317.6-0.2713.716.3-2.58
Andrew Bynum42440.230.27-0.050.0561517.517.30.2113.615.0-1.39
Luke Walton19200.140.36-0.220.0825-317.617.30.2716.313.72.58
Lamar Odom62620.050.45-0.400.32-916-2517.217.7-0.4814.513.80.67
Steve Blake27300.020.48-0.450.14-411-1517.417.30.1214.314.30.07
Shannon Brown3234-0.070.57-0.640.11-613-1917.717.20.4514.114.4-0.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.93,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 108, DAL 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.96,193.8%
LAC 82, UTA 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,193.5%
SAC 102, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.97,1,1,193.1%