NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	102		Excitement	6.4 [506]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +8.4%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.7 [1100]		LVP	Drew Gooden (DAL): -18.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.05	0.03	21	66%	0.20	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	56%	0.09	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.04	13	67%	0.08	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.02	0.08	15	65%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.06	0.04	6	60%	-0.00	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.01	15	57%	0.14	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	10	52%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	15	51%	0.06	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	16	27%	-0.08	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	27.5	16.7	27.2	2.5	33.4	132.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +6.2%

DAL +6.4%

DAL +13.6%

DAL +27.7%

SAC -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.3	106.2	106.1	106.0
season	15.2	15.2		103.7	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		104.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	16.2	15.5	13.6	14.8
DAL	15.4	15.1	15.8	13.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	52	53	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.38	15	-17	32	12.5	17.4	-4.91	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Sergio Rodriguez	6	6	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-5	8	14.5	14.8	-0.29	18.5	14.7	3.82
Spencer Hawes	53	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-10	18	13.7	16.1	-2.39	13.9	16.3	-2.38
Kenny Thomas	27	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	1	-4	17.0	13.9	3.05	15.0	14.9	0.12
Donte Greene	21	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	3	-8	18.6	13.7	4.86	16.8	14.4	2.36
Ime Udoka	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	1	-4	14.6	14.8	-0.27	15.4	14.7	0.63
Tyreke Evans	87	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-2	2	14.6	16.3	-1.72	15.0	14.2	0.77
Jason Thompson	74	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	14.6	15.4	-0.77	15.0	14.5	0.52
Andres Nocioni	49	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	16	-34	15.9	13.6	2.34	15.0	14.8	0.17
Beno Udrih	85	86	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.40	-6	4	-10	14.9	13.6	1.28	14.5	17.7	-3.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	78	76	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.32	16	-14	30	14.5	16.6	-2.18	15.4	12.4	2.93
Quinton Ross	56	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	2	-2	14.4	15.6	-1.14	14.1	15.6	-1.47
Jason Terry	67	67	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	4	-6	15.2	14.3	0.92	14.2	16.0	-1.76
Jason Kidd	69	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	5	-8	14.6	15.7	-1.14	13.4	18.3	-4.90
Jose Juan Barea	35	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	2	-2	13.9	15.5	-1.65	16.6	13.9	2.72
Kris Humphries	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	0	2	15.6	14.3	1.30	16.5	13.3	3.15
Rodrigue Beaubois	30	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-2	6	14.5	15.1	-0.60	15.9	14.3	1.53
Drew Gooden	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	7	-12	15.0	14.8	0.11	13.4	17.5	-4.10
Tim Thomas	44	45	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	4	-6	16.8	13.4	3.37	15.7	14.0	1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 96, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.89,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.97,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%
NJN 77, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.2%
OKC 94, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.9,0.93,1	93.1%