NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	82		Excitement	4.7 [523]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +14.0%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.2 [763]		LVP	Brian Skinner (LAC): -8.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.05	19	47%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	56%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	52%	-0.01	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Tyrone Nesby	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Olowokandi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	-0.07	18	29%	-0.09	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	13	83%	0.20	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	8	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	10	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	48%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	24.0	14.8	25.2	1.7	29.2	118.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +59.2%

UTA +3.9%

UTA +7.4%

LAC -22.4%

UTA +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	17.8	15.5	15.8	95.3	113.8	99.6
season	16.7	16.4		97.5	102.6
opponent	16.0	14.7		96.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.1	16.4	17.8	19.9	17.8
UTA	14.2	17.1	15.7	15.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	32	32	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-25	33	17.5	17.9	-0.48	16.9	14.8	2.11
Lamond Murray	28	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-14	11	18.1	17.6	0.45	17.0	14.8	2.28
Brian Skinner	46	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-15	13	17.2	18.4	-1.28	15.9	15.1	0.77
Maurice Taylor	35	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	-2	-13	18.0	17.6	0.44	16.1	15.1	0.99
Michael Olowokandi	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	-2	-13	17.7	18.0	-0.26	15.4	16.3	-0.84
Eric Piatkowski	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.20	-23	6	-29	17.9	17.3	0.62	14.6	19.0	-4.43
Troy Hudson	86	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	0	-17	17.8	0.0	17.77	15.5	0.0	15.54
Tyrone Nesby	59	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	1	-19	18.0	17.3	0.69	14.7	17.3	-2.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	60	60	0.68	-0.18	0.87	-0.19	30	-13	43	14.9	17.0	-2.12	19.0	14.9	4.13
John Stockton	47	47	0.68	-0.18	0.85	-0.20	30	-13	43	13.9	17.5	-3.67	18.4	17.0	1.45
Karl Malone	67	68	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.13	24	-7	31	14.8	18.1	-3.32	18.6	14.7	3.85
Jeff Hornacek	61	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.09	22	-5	27	14.9	17.1	-2.19	17.9	17.5	0.42
Bryon Russell	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	3	11	15.2	16.3	-1.10	18.3	16.3	2.06
Shandon Anderson	33	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	18	-19	16.6	14.9	1.67	17.1	18.2	-1.17
Adam Keefe	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	18	-19	16.1	15.4	0.64	15.9	18.2	-2.28
Jacque Vaughn	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	14.7	15.6	-0.90	10.5	17.9	-7.44
Todd Fuller	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	14.7	15.6	-0.90	10.5	17.9	-7.44
Thurl Bailey	11	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	22	-27	18.7	15.1	3.65	15.1	18.2	-3.12
Greg Foster	32	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.24	-13	30	-43	17.8	14.2	3.64	15.3	19.0	-3.66
Howard Eisley	37	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.15	-11	28	-39	17.8	13.9	3.86	17.3	18.1	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHI 82, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.3%
SEA 102, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%