NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	57		Excitement	1.6 [1304]		MVP	Shannon Brown (LAL): +5.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	112		Comeback	1.0 [1307]		LVP	JJ Hickson (CLE): -7.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Manny Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	36%	-0.03	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	10	30%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.24	-0.00	-0.18	12	12%	-0.02	4	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.19	0.00	-0.11	9	10%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.05	2	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	8	76%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	59%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.10	11	68%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Caracter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	64%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	71%	0.03	4	-0.04	3	33%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	8	28%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	28.5	16.4	23.3	1.6	24.5	119.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.6%

LAL +1.9%

LAL +4.2%

LAL +8.9%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.1	15.5	62.6	123.1	105.7
season	15.1	15.9		100.8	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	17.8	19.0	13.2	16.5
LAL	14.2	15.6	14.4	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	28	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-51	47	12.9	18.1	-5.18	15.8	14.8	0.97
Christian Eyenga	13	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.24	-10	-45	35	17.6	16.3	1.28	15.1	15.1	-0.05
Ramon Sessions	49	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.17	-10	-45	35	14.8	18.5	-3.73	15.5	14.6	0.90
Alonzo Gee	56	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.38	-17	-38	21	15.8	17.6	-1.76	15.3	14.8	0.49
Samardo Samuels	63	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.56	-24	-31	7	15.8	18.1	-2.35	15.3	14.8	0.50
JJ Hickson	32	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.48	-29	-26	-3	18.2	15.6	2.58	15.0	15.2	-0.25
Mo Williams	48	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.88	-43	-12	-31	18.0	14.8	3.18	14.9	15.4	-0.45
Antawn Jamison	57	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.97	-46	-9	-37	17.6	14.6	2.98	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Ryan Hollins	31	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.60	-35	-20	-15	18.0	15.8	2.20	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Manny Harris	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	1.17	-57	2	-59	16.8	15.0	1.77	15.2	14.9	0.24

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.78	41	14	27	15.2	15.0	0.16	17.5	14.8	2.66
Andrew Bynum	52	53	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.97	46	9	37	15.0	15.4	-0.40	17.8	14.7	3.10
Derek Fisher	45	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.99	46	9	37	14.4	15.9	-1.54	18.2	14.8	3.48
Kobe Bryant	45	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.99	46	9	37	14.4	15.9	-1.54	18.2	14.8	3.48
Metta World Peace	49	50	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.95	44	11	33	14.9	15.4	-0.42	17.8	15.0	2.85
Lamar Odom	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	42	-29	16.8	13.5	3.31	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Luke Walton	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	49	-43	16.4	14.5	1.95	16.0	16.8	-0.73
Steve Blake	46	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	46	-37	15.9	14.4	1.54	14.8	18.2	-3.48
Shannon Brown	43	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	46	-37	16.0	14.3	1.73	14.7	18.0	-3.25
Joe Smith	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	50	-45	12.6	15.6	-2.94	12.6	17.2	-4.66
Derrick Caracter	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	50	-45	12.6	15.6	-2.94	12.6	17.2	-4.66
Devin Ebanks	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	50	-45	12.6	15.6	-2.94	12.6	17.2	-4.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	98.0%
CHI 81, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
HOU 75, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%