NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	2.1 [1224]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): +15.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	1.0 [1070]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): -7.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.08	13	65%	-0.02	4	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	9	52%	-0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	21	50%	-0.05	1	-0.00	16	56%	-0.04
Byron Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	5	29%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	0.00	0.04	11	94%	0.17	2	-0.02	10	90%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	13	59%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	8	47%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	33%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	11	60%	0.04	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	15	35%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	-0.10	7	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.0	34.2	15.6	30.1	1.7	46.2	158.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.8%

POR +7.0%

LAL -2.9%

POR +11.5%

POR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.6	98.9	106.5	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		105.8	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		101.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.7	14.2	14.7	14.4	15.2
POR	16.6	16.4	16.6	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	5	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	15.8	15.2	0.63	21.7	15.8	5.90
Derek Fisher	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-11	14	17.3	15.0	2.25	19.0	16.0	2.96
Byron Scott	37	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.57	18	-26	44	13.9	16.1	-2.17	16.1	16.4	-0.33
Travis Knight	33	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-6	4	14.3	15.7	-1.42	16.9	15.9	1.02
Jerome Kersey	49	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.54	15	-23	38	15.6	14.8	0.79	17.0	15.4	1.57
Kobe Bryant	50	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.59	15	-23	38	14.7	15.9	-1.22	16.7	15.7	1.04
Elden Campbell	41	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	6	-20	16.7	14.0	2.64	17.0	15.6	1.45
Robert Horry	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	3	-14	15.4	15.0	0.41	14.9	17.7	-2.78
Eddie Jones	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	15	-38	14.7	16.3	-1.57	15.5	17.8	-2.23
Nick Van Exel	48	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.48	-33	25	-58	15.7	14.6	1.10	15.7	16.9	-1.22
Shaquille O'Neal	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	2	-12	15.3	14.7	0.58	15.9	18.0	-2.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	85	83	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-2	12	15.9	21.0	-5.13	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Clifford Robinson	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-1	10	16.2	16.6	-0.50	14.9	16.4	-1.53
Kenny Anderson	80	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	-1	10	16.2	16.7	-0.56	15.6	13.1	2.53
Isaiah Rider	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-5	18	16.3	15.9	0.47	15.6	12.9	2.67
Chris Dudley	30	28	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.11	12	-4	16	17.3	15.7	1.59	17.6	14.1	3.46
Gary Trent	34	36	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	3	2	18.5	14.9	3.60	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Stacey Augmon	23	21	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	13	-18	15.7	16.4	-0.70	15.0	15.3	-0.21
Rumeal Robinson	14	15	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	7	-6	14.8	16.5	-1.74	13.1	15.6	-2.49
Arvydas Sabonis	33	35	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.48	-14	22	-36	15.5	16.7	-1.16	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Dontonio Wingfield	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	8	-8	15.3	16.4	-1.07	13.7	15.4	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 57, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
GSW 88, BOS 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
ORL 79, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%