inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 81 Excitement1.8 [1246] MVPSean Elliott (SAS): +7.6%
San Antonio Spurs 105 Comeback1.1 [1254] LVPElton Brand (CHI): -5.3%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corey Benjamin0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.021248%0.0210.001100%0.00
Metta World Peace0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02362%0.011-0.00250%-0.00
Dalibor Bagaric0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.04329%-0.001-0.0010%0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.040.000.051753%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02133%-0.0200.00450%-0.01
Marcus Fizer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.04942%-0.023-0.0110%-0.01
Khalid El-Amin-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00736%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Dragan Tarlac-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.06714%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Elton Brand-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.000.000.051659%-0.013-0.04771%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sean Elliott0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.000.056100%0.081-0.00475%-0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.00-0.061162%0.073-0.01475%-0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.00-0.071159%0.043-0.007100%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.012117%0.041-0.002100%0.01
David Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.02575%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.011100%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02462%0.012-0.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03457%0.011-0.01667%-0.01
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01550%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01945%-0.0100.00250%-0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01856%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Shawnelle Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.140.00-0.11514%-0.022-0.0140%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.11.724.516.523.71.826.5122.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +37.3%
SAS +0.6%
SAS +10.0%
SAS +0.3%
SAS +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHISASNBACHISASNBA
this game15.915.815.588.0116.7100.9
season16.415.995.2103.4
opponent15.515.196.5104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI15.918.313.716.215.9
SAS15.416.813.018.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dalibor Bagaric2222-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-242416.515.70.8418.714.93.83
Jamal Crawford3736-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-211816.115.70.3715.815.80.03
Metta World Peace3130-0.04-0.460.430.11-5-191417.215.22.0616.615.41.27
Michael Ruffin2121-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-201615.016.1-1.0518.015.12.82
Marcus Fizer3840-0.17-0.330.170.01-6-181216.915.11.7716.815.01.82
Fred Hoiberg3535-0.18-0.320.13-0.07-4-201614.316.8-2.4916.115.60.49
Dragan Tarlac3533-0.19-0.310.110.13-11-13214.816.5-1.6613.317.2-3.88
Corey Benjamin5050-0.30-0.20-0.090.14-15-9-616.515.11.3216.514.81.69
Elton Brand6864-0.47-0.03-0.440.32-273-3015.915.9-0.0214.718.4-3.70
Khalid El-Amin5554-0.47-0.03-0.440.14-21-3-1815.716.1-0.3715.815.8-0.03
Ron Mercer6865-0.49-0.01-0.470.22-240-2415.616.6-1.0414.718.7-4.06

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Elliott45490.440.060.39-0.2925-12614.816.8-1.9316.914.72.14
David Robinson37390.390.110.28-0.4027-33013.717.2-3.5017.114.92.20
Derek Anderson49520.320.180.14-0.211861214.717.1-2.4016.015.60.41
Avery Johnson25270.310.190.12-0.191771015.016.1-1.1517.215.31.88
Tim Duncan49520.300.200.10-0.111410415.016.8-1.7815.017.0-2.02
Terry Porter39390.230.27-0.050.08519-1416.915.01.9115.616.0-0.38
Danny Ferry30310.220.28-0.05-0.131212017.514.92.5217.315.12.21
Antonio Daniels49500.180.32-0.13-0.08915-616.215.30.9615.116.7-1.57
Shawnelle Scott23220.050.45-0.39-0.06420-1617.115.31.8016.215.70.48
Malik Rose41400.030.47-0.430.30-933-4216.615.11.5514.417.0-2.54
Ira Newble35330.010.49-0.480.07-226-2816.615.31.2814.616.6-1.95
Steve Kerr28260.010.49-0.480.01024-2416.715.41.4015.516.0-0.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 90, MIN 1170.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
CLE 57, LAL 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
HOU 75, PHX 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%