NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	89		Excitement	6.9 [441]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +7.2%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	1.2 [1033]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (WAS): -12.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	14	58%	0.12	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Gilbert Arenas	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	19	50%	0.20	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Trevor Booker	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	46%	-0.04	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	14	53%	-0.03	4	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	25	43%	0.11	2	-0.04	17	82%	0.05
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,0,-0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	12	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.10	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	8	54%	0.02	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	5	64%	-0.03	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	36.5	15.4	29.4	0.7	38.6	151.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -4.9%

NJN +19.4%

NJN +9.0%

NJN +13.5%

NJN +13.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NJN	NBA	WAS	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.5	89.0	95.1	105.7
season	15.1	16.4		100.9	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	15.2	16.4	11.5	14.3
NJN	13.2	13.6	14.2	15.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	14.4	14.3	0.08	11.9	14.5	-2.55
Hamady Ndiaye	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-5	2	14.5	14.3	0.18	17.8	14.0	3.87
Trevor Booker	61	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-11	14	14.9	13.5	1.42	14.9	13.1	1.81
Kevin Seraphin	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-4	0	14.1	14.4	-0.26	10.5	14.6	-4.09
Cartier Martin	19	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	0	-8	13.3	14.6	-1.32	11.0	15.0	-3.96
JaVale McGee	43	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-1	-6	15.0	13.9	1.09	14.1	14.2	-0.13
Hilton Armstrong	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-14	20	13.7	14.8	-1.06	14.6	13.9	0.75
Nick Young	68	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-5	2	14.0	15.0	-0.99	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Kirk Hinrich	70	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	14.2	14.5	-0.29	14.5	13.5	1.06
Al Thornton	84	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	3	-14	14.1	15.3	-1.17	14.0	15.3	-1.33
Gilbert Arenas	88	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.42	-3	-5	2	14.7	11.9	2.74	14.7	11.1	3.58

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	67	67	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-7	22	13.4	15.6	-2.20	13.5	15.9	-2.40
Kris Humphries	78	75	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-2	12	13.7	15.9	-2.21	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Brook Lopez	57	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-11	30	13.6	14.9	-1.22	13.8	15.0	-1.18
Devin Harris	86	85	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	14.2	14.1	0.07	14.2	15.3	-1.10
Travis Outlaw	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-2	12	14.7	13.5	1.25	13.5	15.4	-1.95
Ben Uzoh	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	7	-6	12.9	14.5	-1.54	16.2	13.8	2.36
Johan Petro	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	7	-6	14.7	14.1	0.58	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Jordan Farmar	65	62	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	12	-16	14.1	14.3	-0.22	14.8	13.6	1.17
Derrick Favors	34	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	14	-20	15.4	13.6	1.84	14.7	14.1	0.59
Stephen Graham	15	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.12	-9	17	-26	16.5	13.8	2.67	17.8	13.9	3.98
Troy Murphy	14	11	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	13	-18	16.6	13.8	2.85	17.3	14.0	3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.69,0.92,1	93.0%
GSW 100, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.54,0.75,0.79,0.9,1,1	92.5%
LAL 102, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.96,0.96,1	92.5%