NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	9.1 [105]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +55.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	6.1 [265]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -44.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.55,0.55	0.19	0.36	0.00	10	85%	0.58	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.08
Kevin Garnett	0.49	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.49	0.00	0.50	0.01	12	54%	0.53	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	14	68%	0.16	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	14	53%	0.20	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Semih Erden	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.16	0.22	0.01	9	90%	0.40	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.33	0.33	-0.02	0.35	-0.00	14	44%	0.35	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	11	67%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	10	54%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	70%	0.15	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.44	-0.44	-0.08	-0.35	0.01	13	39%	-0.17	3	-0.27	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.6	31.3	19.4	28.4	3.4	34.3	146.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +63.1%

BOS +13.5%

PHI -23.2%

BOS +0.6%

PHI -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	17.6	15.5	114.6	113.5	105.7
season	15.7	15.5		104.8	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	13.9	14.4	15.3	14.8
PHI	15.7	17.4	18.3	19.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	67	68	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.53	6	-5	11	13.9	17.6	-3.77	16.9	19.7	-2.82
Kevin Garnett	62	61	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.48	5	-4	9	14.0	16.5	-2.47	17.3	18.1	-0.85
Nate Robinson	38	38	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.54	0	1	-1	15.2	14.5	0.77	17.7	17.5	0.17
Rajon Rondo	88	88	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.44	3	-2	5	14.9	8.0	6.88	17.3	38.0	-20.67
Paul Pierce	72	72	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.45	-9	10	-19	15.3	12.8	2.44	17.6	17.6	-0.03
Marquis Daniels	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-3	7	15.3	14.6	0.71	18.2	17.2	0.96
Von Wafer	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	2	-3	15.2	14.7	0.47	20.3	17.2	3.08
Semih Erden	33	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.13	-6	7	-13	15.0	14.7	0.27	17.1	17.8	-0.75
Glen Davis	46	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.19	3	-2	5	15.4	14.1	1.27	18.7	16.4	2.26

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	71	72	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.19	5	-6	11	18.2	14.9	3.35	15.1	13.6	1.42
Spencer Hawes	45	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-4	7	17.0	18.2	-1.18	15.0	14.6	0.45
Evan Turner	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	0	-1	15.8	17.8	-2.00	13.6	15.0	-1.38
Andres Nocioni	13	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	6	-13	16.8	17.7	-0.84	12.8	15.1	-2.25
Jodie Meeks	73	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-6	11	17.3	18.9	-1.60	15.0	13.9	1.12
Andre Iguodala	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.51	1	-2	3	17.4	18.2	-0.77	14.9	14.4	0.48
Jrue Holiday	60	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-2	3	18.1	16.5	1.55	15.7	12.7	3.06
Thaddeus Young	52	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.49	-3	2	-5	18.0	16.9	1.15	14.7	14.9	-0.25
Lou Williams	45	42	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.56	-9	8	-17	17.2	17.9	-0.73	13.2	16.2	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.32,0.37,0.76,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 84, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.42,0	91.0%
SAS 90, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.78,0.72,0	91.0%
ATL 91, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.85,0.58,0	90.3%