NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	5.5 [738]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +20.8%
New Orleans Hornets	92		Comeback	2.4 [224]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): -11.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.08	0.01	22	69%	0.29	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Shawne Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	7	93%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.07	-0.04	13	57%	0.17	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	12	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	5	46%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	21	47%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	9	68%	0.06	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	12	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	4	61%	0.03	5	-0.13	10	50%	-0.06
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	8	30%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	31.0	16.6	26.4	2.5	27.4	130.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +63.6%

NOH -12.9%

NOH -17.2%

NYK +18.5%

NOH -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOH	NBA	NYK	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	15.5	102.0	94.8	105.7
season	14.3	16.2		108.6	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.0	14.5	14.9	18.3	15.3
NOH	14.8	13.2	13.9	15.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	75	73	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.17	14	-6	20	14.7	17.4	-2.68	14.6	13.0	1.59
Amar'e Stoudemire	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-3	14	15.4	15.1	0.23	14.3	13.5	0.78
Wilson Chandler	81	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	1	6	15.3	15.6	-0.30	14.0	15.1	-1.06
Shawne Williams	42	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-2	12	16.2	14.7	1.45	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Raymond Felton	87	87	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	4	0	14.9	18.5	-3.61	14.3	13.2	1.11
Toney Douglas	40	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	2	4	16.3	14.6	1.71	14.7	13.8	0.84
Danilo Gallinari	66	63	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	10	-12	15.3	15.4	-0.10	13.6	15.3	-1.69
Henry Walker	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	13	-18	16.2	15.3	0.99	15.4	14.1	1.38
Timofey Mozgov	7	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	13	-18	15.9	15.3	0.56	15.4	14.1	1.38

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Mbenga	19	17	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-12	16	15.4	13.9	1.52	15.6	15.3	0.38
Jason Smith	32	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.21	7	-15	22	13.3	14.6	-1.32	13.7	16.2	-2.54
Marcus Thornton	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-11	14	12.7	15.0	-2.23	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Quincy Pondexter	27	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-11	14	16.0	13.5	2.45	16.6	14.9	1.69
Jarrett Jack	43	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	14.3	14.1	0.19	15.6	15.2	0.41
Marco Belinelli	75	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	14.4	13.6	0.72	15.3	15.5	-0.15
Trevor Ariza	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	14.4	13.6	0.78	15.4	15.2	0.20
Willie Green	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	5	-18	13.7	14.7	-1.01	15.8	14.9	0.90
Chris Paul	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	14.1	14.3	-0.19	15.1	15.8	-0.77
Emeka Okafor	70	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	6	-20	14.3	14.0	0.22	15.6	14.6	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
LAC 111, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SEA 95, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	94.3%