NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	95		Excitement	5.4 [735]		MVP	Predrag Drobnjak (SEA): +12.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	2.1 [247]		LVP	Darius Miles (LAC): -16.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	12	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Art Long	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	9	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	19	48%	0.03	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Randy Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome James	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.03	0.05	13	71%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.11	-0.04	0.10	25	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	14	37%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	11	22%	-0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	25.5	16.6	24.0	2.0	36.0	129.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +41.0%

SEA +8.5%

LAC -15.9%

SEA +21.0%

LAC -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.6	108.0	100.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.9		106.3	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.8	13.0	18.8	17.8	16.6
LAC	15.1	21.3	19.1	11.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	57	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-5	18	15.9	17.9	-2.02	15.6	17.5	-1.96
Predrag Drobnjak	57	58	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-6	20	16.2	17.4	-1.23	16.0	16.9	-0.91
Randy Livingston	44	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-1	10	16.5	16.7	-0.16	14.8	17.9	-3.05
Olumide Oyedeji	26	25	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	0	8	15.5	17.1	-1.60	16.8	16.1	0.66
Gary Payton	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.36	-2	10	-12	16.0	18.8	-2.88	15.4	19.4	-4.01
Brent Barry	73	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	5	-2	17.1	14.5	2.52	16.9	14.0	2.88
Jerome James	59	57	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	3	2	17.2	15.5	1.70	17.5	14.0	3.54
Shammond Williams	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.07	-5	13	-18	17.9	15.9	2.02	17.5	15.6	1.96
Art Long	25	25	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	13	-18	18.1	16.0	2.09	17.1	16.0	1.17

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	26	28	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-11	14	17.6	15.7	1.89	17.4	16.3	1.13
Earl Boykins	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-12	16	8.2	17.7	-9.56	17.1	16.5	0.53
Quentin Richardson	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-3	-2	18.5	15.5	3.04	15.3	17.1	-1.80
Doug Overton	6	5	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	0	-8	28.2	15.4	12.76	8.8	17.1	-8.30
Sean Rooks	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	4	-16	18.8	15.3	3.53	16.4	16.7	-0.37
Elton Brand	68	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	-4	0	16.8	14.5	2.32	17.1	14.8	2.32
Eric Piatkowski	62	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-7	6	15.2	19.1	-3.92	17.5	14.2	3.32
Jeff McInnis	83	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-6	4	15.7	29.5	-13.85	16.8	13.0	3.75
Michael Olowokandi	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-4	0	16.4	15.8	0.57	16.1	18.2	-2.10
Darius Miles	61	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.21	-11	3	-14	15.7	17.6	-1.89	16.3	17.4	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
LAC 111, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
CHI 97, SAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	93.8%