NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	125		Excitement	10.7 [32]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +69.1%
Detroit Pistons	116		Comeback	2.6 [361]		LVP	Ben Gordon (DET): -13.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.22	0.04	20	67%	0.55	6	-0.26	15	87%	0.11
Danilo Gallinari	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	12	77%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Landry Fields	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.12	0.02	14	50%	0.17	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Henry Walker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	-0.07	0.02	14	69%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Shawne Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	17	52%	0.11	3	-0.11	10	100%	0.08
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69	0.69	0.17	0.54	0.03	22	63%	0.69	0	0.00	5	100%	0.11
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.06	0.03	16	66%	0.13	2	-0.10	12	92%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	16	47%	-0.01	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.08
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.03	0.04	4	37%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.8	3.3	29.3	16.8	25.2	2.6	36.2	2.6	12.1	2.4	11.8	168.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +40.7%

DET -21.9%

NYK +41.3%

DET -6.0%

DET -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	16.0	15.5	115.7	106.4	105.7
season	14.3	16.7		108.6	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		110.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	13.0	15.6	16.2	16.7	20.1	16.1
DET	17.5	13.2	17.3	16.8	15.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	96	96	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-4	17	16.2	15.2	0.96	16.4	12.5	3.99
Raymond Felton	98	100	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-2	13	16.0	16.7	-0.66	16.4	11.6	4.81
Wilson Chandler	71	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	1	7	16.0	16.3	-0.30	16.7	14.5	2.17
Landry Fields	94	95	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	5	-1	16.4	13.8	2.66	16.1	15.4	0.62
Amar'e Stoudemire	100	99	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	3	3	16.6	9.4	7.27	16.0	15.7	0.30
Timofey Mozgov	17	19	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	3	3	15.4	16.2	-0.82	13.0	16.6	-3.60
Shawne Williams	12	13	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	4	1	14.7	16.3	-1.61	16.6	15.9	0.73
Henry Walker	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	6	-3	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.2	16.2	-0.98
Anthony Randolph	12	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	14	-19	12.6	16.5	-3.96	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Roger Mason Jr.	17	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.03	-6	15	-21	16.9	16.0	0.93	11.9	16.7	-4.73

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	33	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-9	9	14.4	16.7	-2.26	14.1	17.0	-2.90
Jason Maxiell	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.04	-3	-6	3	18.8	15.5	3.31	13.4	16.6	-3.13
Tracy McGrady	55	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.28	6	-15	21	15.3	16.7	-1.41	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Charlie Villanueva	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-7	5	14.5	16.6	-2.18	14.2	16.9	-2.72
Ben Gordon	49	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-3	-3	13.7	17.8	-4.10	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Austin Daye	15	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	17.1	15.8	1.35	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Ben Wallace	65	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	16.0	15.9	0.18	16.7	15.2	1.55
Greg Monroe	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-7	5	15.4	16.3	-0.87	14.2	17.0	-2.82
Richard Hamilton	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	16.7	14.7	1.91	17.2	14.1	3.04
Tayshaun Prince	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	0	-9	16.8	14.0	2.76	16.9	13.9	3.05
Rodney Stuckey	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	0	-9	16.8	14.0	2.76	16.9	13.9	3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.32,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.28,1	86.3%
HOU 112, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.06,0.16,0	86.2%
ORL 103, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	86.0%