NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	7.9 [273]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +22.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	2.3 [340]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -18.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.12	0.04	18	71%	0.31	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	18	60%	0.20	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
David Andersen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	83%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.05	-0.06	0.03	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Linas Kleiza	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	7	19%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	13	21%	-0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	19	55%	0.17	2	-0.13	11	82%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.02
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	13	34%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	7	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.14	0.02	8	47%	-0.10	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.19	-0.03	16	49%	0.02	3	-0.20	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.4	26.4	15.7	30.1	2.4	33.7	139.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +61.2%

TOR +3.9%

PHI -29.4%

TOR +14.6%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.5	97.9	90.5	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		104.7	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	16.0	14.4	14.2	14.6
PHI	13.6	15.3	16.3	17.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	85	84	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.28	17	-9	26	13.9	20.1	-6.15	15.6	14.6	0.99
Jose Calderon	49	49	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-4	16	14.4	14.9	-0.49	15.9	15.1	0.87
Reggie Evans	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	0	8	13.9	16.2	-2.26	15.1	16.5	-1.39
Andrea Bargnani	72	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	8	-8	15.8	11.2	4.64	15.0	17.0	-2.04
Amir Johnson	28	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	5	-2	14.4	14.8	-0.41	15.6	15.5	0.13
DeMar DeRozan	65	64	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.31	-4	12	-16	15.6	12.6	2.95	14.3	17.9	-3.59
David Andersen	26	25	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	3	2	13.5	15.1	-1.52	18.0	14.6	3.37
Linas Kleiza	42	42	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	5	-2	14.6	14.7	-0.09	17.1	14.3	2.79
Jarrett Jack	47	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	14.9	14.4	0.49	15.1	15.9	-0.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	24	24	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-15	22	13.9	16.1	-2.20	16.0	14.2	1.86
Marreese Speights	14	14	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-8	8	12.9	16.0	-3.12	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Darius Songaila	14	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-7	6	16.3	15.4	0.90	12.6	15.0	-2.43
Jason Kapono	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	15.0	15.6	-0.58	12.7	14.9	-2.26
Jrue Holiday	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-9	10	15.3	16.4	-1.17	15.1	12.9	2.23
Lou Williams	25	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	2	-12	15.8	15.4	0.33	12.8	15.3	-2.50
Thaddeus Young	51	53	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	17.4	13.3	4.14	15.2	14.0	1.25
Evan Turner	86	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-4	0	15.4	16.2	-0.78	14.8	12.9	1.94
Elton Brand	81	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	15.6	15.3	0.27	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Andres Nocioni	62	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	15.0	16.5	-1.53	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Tony Battie	33	34	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	4	-16	16.2	15.1	1.07	14.7	14.6	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.34,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.43,0.02,0	91.8%
IND 105, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.04,0	91.5%
MIN 112, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.27,0	91.5%