NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	8.1 [202]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +29.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	85		Comeback	3.4 [255]		LVP	Jared Dudley (CHA): -21.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.28,0.3	0.08	0.21	-0.00	13	69%	0.36	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.01	11	78%	0.23	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	64%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	18	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	4	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	46%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.07
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	6	14%	-0.13	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.06

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	23	54%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	16	34%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.09	-0.01	18	51%	0.05	1	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	7	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	9	17%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	10	46%	0.03	4	-0.22	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	25.4	15.8	28.2	2.6	35.1	135.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +74.9%

POR -3.9%

POR -58.6%

CHA +38.0%

POR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	POR	NBA	CHA	POR	NBA
this game	14.5	17.2	15.4	103.3	92.4	105.7
season	15.8	16.7		103.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.1	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.5	14.7	13.8	16.0	14.5
POR	15.8	16.6	19.0	17.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	64	65	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	1	6	14.5	14.4	0.06	17.5	16.4	1.05
Jason Richardson	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-2	12	14.5	14.2	0.32	16.9	18.1	-1.18
Matt Carroll	55	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	14.7	14.1	0.62	16.2	18.8	-2.56
Raymond Felton	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.26	6	2	4	14.5	14.4	0.06	17.5	16.2	1.30
Emeka Okafor	62	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	4	0	14.7	13.9	0.88	18.0	15.3	2.68
Earl Boykins	26	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	14.4	14.5	-0.06	16.2	17.5	-1.30
Nazr Mohammed	43	42	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	8	-8	14.3	14.6	-0.27	18.4	16.1	2.22
Ryan Hollins	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	9	-10	13.3	14.8	-1.52	15.3	17.7	-2.41
Jared Dudley	39	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.18	4	4	0	14.4	14.5	-0.19	16.9	17.4	-0.50

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	49	47	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.26	-4	-4	0	16.1	18.3	-2.16	14.6	14.3	0.27
Sergio Rodriguez	5	4	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-9	10	12.0	17.4	-5.45	15.0	14.4	0.56
Channing Frye	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-9	10	14.7	17.3	-2.66	12.7	14.6	-1.93
Raef LaFrentz	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-7	6	17.3	17.1	0.14	12.8	14.7	-1.88
Martell Webster	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-5	2	17.5	16.8	0.72	13.8	15.2	-1.41
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	78	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	17.2	16.8	0.38	14.8	12.2	2.56
Joel Przybilla	65	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	18.6	13.7	4.93	15.0	13.1	1.92
Jarrett Jack	67	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	1	-10	16.3	19.4	-3.09	14.5	14.3	0.20
Steve Blake	59	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	-1	-6	17.5	16.5	0.99	14.6	14.2	0.34
Travis Outlaw	68	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.36	-9	1	-10	17.3	16.7	0.54	14.1	15.4	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.43,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.6,0.71,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.64,0.23,0.16,0	92.0%
CLE 92, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.02,0	92.0%
TOR 94, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.34,0.09,0	91.8%