NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	9.6 [90]		MVP	Monta Ellis (IND): +16.4%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	2.6 [493]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -27.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.02	17	62%	0.22	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.00	8	87%	0.23	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.07	0.01	0.09	0.03	9	60%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	87%	0.17	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Jordan Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	19	47%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Solomon Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Young	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	11	29%	-0.21	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.15	-0.01	-0.01	14	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.14
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	39%	0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.23	-0.04	-0.20	0.00	9	57%	0.07	5	-0.30	3	67%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.23	-0.01	17	40%	-0.24	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	30.1	15.3	25.4	2.5	37.7	135.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +64.4%

ORL -9.2%

ORL -14.0%

IND +10.2%

ORL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	12.4	14.9	99.1	95.3	105.1
season	14.6	14.6		103.2	103.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		105.2	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	15.6	13.6	16.7	14.7
ORL	12.2	15.1	11.7	11.0	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	77	79	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-6	15	14.0	16.4	-2.38	11.7	14.4	-2.70
Paul George	83	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-4	11	14.3	16.1	-1.83	12.0	14.0	-2.04
Monta Ellis	86	87	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	-1	5	14.6	14.9	-0.37	12.3	12.7	-0.37
Ian Mahinmi	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	-3	9	14.0	16.0	-1.96	11.6	14.0	-2.39
Myles Turner	70	72	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	0	3	14.1	15.7	-1.58	11.7	13.9	-2.21
CJ Miles	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	2	-1	14.9	14.6	0.27	14.1	11.8	2.31
Lavoy Allen	36	35	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	3	-3	15.7	14.1	1.58	13.9	11.7	2.21
Jordan Hill	33	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	6	-9	16.0	14.0	1.96	14.0	11.6	2.39
Solomon Hill	27	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	7	-11	16.9	13.9	3.00	14.4	11.7	2.63
Joe Young	18	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	11	-19	15.9	14.4	1.56	12.2	12.4	-0.18

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	55	53	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.13	-1	-2	1	12.5	12.3	0.18	13.1	16.2	-3.08
Mario Hezonja	19	18	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-5	7	14.1	12.0	2.01	14.3	14.7	-0.38
Jason Smith	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	1	-5	12.2	12.5	-0.21	14.5	14.7	-0.25
Ersan Ilyasova	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	13.4	11.9	1.54	16.1	13.9	2.18
CJ Watson	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	2	-7	12.3	12.4	-0.16	16.6	14.1	2.50
Aaron Gordon	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-4	5	11.9	13.4	-1.54	13.9	16.1	-2.18
Nikola Vucevic	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-4	5	12.5	12.2	0.21	14.7	14.5	0.25
Victor Oladipo	93	91	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-2	1	12.2	13.4	-1.18	14.4	16.1	-1.65
Evan Fournier	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	12.2	12.9	-0.65	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Brandon Jennings	52	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.55	-2	-1	-1	12.3	12.5	-0.18	16.2	13.1	3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.04,0	92.1%
WAS 90, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.08,0	91.7%
NJN 97, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.04,0	91.7%