NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	7.5 [183]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +14.9%
Washington Wizards	93		Comeback	3.0 [76]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -38.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamie Feick	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	22	51%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.01	23	56%	0.17	7	-0.24	6	83%	0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	46%	-0.03	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.09	0.04	19	69%	0.22	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	17	41%	-0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.36,-0.38	-0.38	-0.17	-0.22	-0.01	17	39%	-0.18	6	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	21.7	15.4	24.4	2.5	38.5	126.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -5.7%

NJN +20.5%

NJN +29.8%

NJN +1.4%

NJN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.8	103.2	101.1	99.6
season	15.0	15.5		96.5	98.8
opponent	15.9	15.6		101.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.8	15.7	14.9	17.0	15.0
WAS	16.0	15.0	17.2	15.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	67	66	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.25	13	-9	22	14.5	16.4	-1.93	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Jamie Feick	76	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-2	8	15.2	14.4	0.73	15.7	17.2	-1.58
Keith Van Horn	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.05	18	-14	32	14.0	17.7	-3.73	16.3	14.8	1.49
Stephon Marbury	78	76	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-3	10	14.8	16.1	-1.32	15.7	17.0	-1.28
Kendall Gill	77	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-1	6	14.9	15.8	-0.97	15.8	16.7	-0.90
Chris Carr	17	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	5	-6	15.8	14.9	0.97	16.7	15.8	0.90
Elliot Perry	16	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	7	-10	16.1	14.8	1.32	17.0	15.7	1.28
Mark Hendrickson	29	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.28	-11	15	-26	17.6	13.9	3.64	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Lucious Harris	29	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.17	-9	13	-22	15.4	14.9	0.50	15.8	16.0	-0.24
William Cunningham	13	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	9	-14	16.1	14.9	1.21	17.6	15.7	1.88

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Davis	21	20	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.10	-2	-2	0	17.6	15.5	2.11	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Tim Legler	25	25	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-5	6	16.3	15.8	0.51	13.8	15.5	-1.68
Jeff McInnis	19	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	13.8	16.5	-2.72	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Calbert Cheaney	50	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.44	9	-13	22	15.2	16.8	-1.59	16.7	12.9	3.78
Otis Thorpe	62	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	3	-10	17.1	13.6	3.48	14.8	15.4	-0.50
Rod Strickland	75	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-2	0	16.3	14.6	1.67	15.1	14.5	0.61
Ben Wallace	50	53	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-5	6	15.1	17.0	-1.94	16.0	13.7	2.31
Juwan Howard	82	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	2	-8	15.8	17.0	-1.18	14.6	18.9	-4.33
Mitch Richmond	76	80	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	6	-16	15.9	16.2	-0.37	14.5	18.1	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.46,0.22,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.04,0	91.7%
PHI 104, VAN 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.1,0	91.5%
ORL 85, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.21,0.1,0.15,0	91.4%