NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	10.5 [37]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (DET): +47.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	9.1 [133]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -15.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.39,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47	0.23	0.23	-0.02	15	79%	0.48	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.26	0.02	0.24	0.00	14	49%	0.28	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.07
Jason Maxiell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.00	4	79%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Austin Daye	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.05	0.01	7	86%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Will Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	24%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	11	33%	-0.09	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04
Richard Hamilton	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	13	40%	-0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.00	6	82%	0.30	1	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.28,0.4,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.16	-0.00	20	55%	0.46	6	-0.33	11	91%	0.09
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	10	69%	0.18	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	13	39%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	15	51%	-0.04	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.2	16.4	33.6	2.4	41.5	2.4	19.3	170.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.1%

LAC -9.7%

LAC -11.0%

DET +57.9%

LAC -8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	16.6	14.1	15.5	109.7	102.9	105.7
season	16.7	15.4		106.4	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	15.3	16.4	17.8	17.8	13.9	16.6
LAC	16.0	14.9	10.6	14.8	16.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	69	69	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.61	8	-2	10	16.3	17.2	-0.92	14.2	14.0	0.22
Jason Maxiell	47	45	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-6	18	16.4	16.7	-0.31	14.6	13.8	0.88
Rodney Stuckey	60	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	0	6	16.6	16.6	0.06	14.1	14.2	-0.04
Ben Gordon	39	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	-1	8	16.6	16.6	0.04	14.8	13.8	1.06
Richard Hamilton	64	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	7	-8	16.6	16.6	-0.04	13.8	14.8	-1.06
Tayshaun Prince	72	75	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	3	0	16.5	16.7	-0.21	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Will Bynum	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	6	-6	16.6	16.6	-0.06	14.2	14.1	0.04
Austin Daye	48	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	1	4	17.5	15.8	1.74	14.1	14.2	-0.04
Tracy McGrady	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	7	-8	17.1	16.5	0.56	15.7	13.9	1.86
Greg Monroe	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	7	-8	17.0	16.5	0.46	15.5	14.0	1.53
Ben Wallace	46	47	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.13	-8	14	-22	16.1	17.0	-0.91	13.3	14.8	-1.51

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Warren	17	16	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-10	14	12.5	14.5	-2.00	14.7	16.9	-2.26
DeAndre Jordan	34	34	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-10	14	13.3	14.5	-1.22	15.3	17.2	-1.94
Al-Farouq Aminu	39	37	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-10	14	14.1	14.2	-0.07	16.5	16.6	-0.08
Brian Cook	1	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-7	8	8.0	14.2	-6.20	7.5	16.8	-9.27
Craig Smith	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	1	-8	14.3	14.0	0.35	17.4	15.8	1.63
Eric Bledsoe	87	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	4	-14	14.6	11.9	2.70	17.8	11.4	6.38
Ryan Gomes	83	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	0	-6	13.9	15.0	-1.01	16.7	16.2	0.42
Eric Gordon	83	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	1	-8	14.2	14.1	0.06	16.7	16.3	0.35
Rasual Butler	45	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-3	0	13.8	14.4	-0.57	14.5	18.4	-3.88
Blake Griffin	83	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	4	-14	14.7	11.9	2.81	17.0	14.9	2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.23,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.71,0.55,0.85,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.04,0	89.9%
SEA 111, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	89.5%
MIA 98, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.15,0.02,0	89.0%