inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 111 Excitement10.0 [55] MVPEarl Watson (SEA): +20.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves 108 Comeback59.6 [6] LVPNick Collison (SEA): -18.6%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Watson0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.210.040.17-0.01794%0.335-0.122100%0.01
Kevin Durant0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2-0.060.280.011856%0.487-0.279100%0.12
Chris Wilcox0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.180.070.10-0.011555%0.1800.00367%0.00
Luke Ridnour0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.070.00872%0.1600.002100%0.01
Francisco Elson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.00367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Mickael Gelabale0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Green-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.01487%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.04-0.00743%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Johan Petro-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.01560%0.023-0.0800%0.00
Nick Collison-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19-0.00-0.180.001054%-0.052-0.14667%-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Craig Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.050.120.01965%0.262-0.10560%-0.04
Chris Richard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.003100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.050.05-0.020.05-0.022946%0.082-0.04757%-0.09
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.030.030.010.020.001346%0.0300.00250%-0.02
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.02-0.08-0.011054%-0.021-0.03667%-0.03
Rashad McCants0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08-0.080.03-0.11-0.001460%0.113-0.19250%-0.01
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.050.01250%-0.012-0.0900%0.00
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.080.00633%-0.042-0.1100%0.00
Ryan Gomes0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.05-0.100.01743%-0.102-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.11.828.616.426.32.738.22.517.5157.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +57.3%
SEA +23.5%
MIN -16.8%
MIN -13.4%
MIN -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAMINNBASEAMINNBA
this game15.315.715.4107.8105.9105.7
season14.515.999.1102.2
opponent15.015.0109.6107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SEA13.016.315.517.513.415.3
MIN16.414.315.816.016.615.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Wilcox83820.96-0.461.430.4717-143114.618.0-3.3616.014.61.35
Earl Watson66660.76-0.261.020.7312-113.718.1-4.3515.316.6-1.31
Kevin Durant82830.61-0.110.720.465-2715.016.2-1.1916.014.41.68
Damien Wilkins57560.340.160.180.40-25-715.215.4-0.1415.416.2-0.80
Jeff Green46460.160.34-0.180.015-2715.415.20.1416.215.40.80
Luke Ridnour39390.120.38-0.27-0.066-3917.414.03.3715.515.9-0.40
Nick Collison65620.060.44-0.390.20-58-1316.313.62.7115.516.2-0.72
Johan Petro4142-0.090.59-0.690.02-47-1114.016.2-2.1916.415.31.14
Mickael Gelabale2119-0.110.61-0.72-0.05-25-716.215.01.1914.416.0-1.68
Francisco Elson1515-0.300.80-1.11-0.13-69-1519.614.65.0416.315.60.62

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Craig Smith61610.31-0.811.110.0110-132315.316.4-1.1016.913.03.91
Corey Brewer7677-0.16-0.340.17-0.160-3315.815.50.3714.816.7-1.87
Chris Richard2222-0.21-0.290.08-0.04-63-915.315.8-0.5317.214.82.46
Kirk Snyder6463-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.260-3315.815.60.1715.315.30.03
Al Jefferson8081-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.383-6915.815.30.5314.817.2-2.46
Rashad McCants4346-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.463-6914.516.7-2.2017.213.83.36
Ryan Gomes4242-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.14-129-2116.815.01.7513.216.7-3.55
Sebastian Telfair5355-0.500.00-0.50-0.12-1310-2316.514.91.6515.914.61.25
Randy Foye6968-0.510.01-0.52-0.510-3315.516.2-0.6614.017.9-3.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.22,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 113, LAC 1070.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.23,0.01,089.5%
NJN 90, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,088.7%
SAS 87, PHX 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.44,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.98,187.4%