NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	13.0 [8]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): +49.9%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	36.5 [28]		LVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): -63.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.50	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.5	-0.03	0.51	-0.01	17	50%	0.60	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.16,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.06	-0.10	0.15	-0.01	19	46%	0.45	6	-0.39	1	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Derrick Dial	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	9	50%	-0.00	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26	-0.05	-0.22	-0.01	14	52%	-0.09	3	-0.17	5	60%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.09	0.00	12	34%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.06
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.15,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	25	55%	0.10	5	-0.24	12	67%	-0.02
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	8	25%	-0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	0.03	-0.18	0.01	22	57%	-0.01	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.09
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.64,-0.64	-0.64	-0.17	-0.47	-0.00	5	6%	-0.59	1	-0.04	6	17%	-0.37

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	1.5	30.4	15.5	25.3	1.6	33.4	1.5	19.0	150.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +120.0%

NJN +1.5%

UTA -37.4%

UTA -48.3%

NJN +14.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	16.2	15.6	85.7	85.6	102.3
season	14.7	16.1		101.4	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.0		101.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	13.1	14.2	15.5	13.6	15.6	14.2
UTA	17.6	14.6	14.5	17.1	19.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	86	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.62	0	1	-1	13.9	15.5	-1.61	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Kenyon Martin	86	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.62	0	1	-1	13.9	15.5	-1.61	15.9	17.5	-1.63
Richard Jefferson	47	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	-6	13	12.8	15.3	-2.54	16.3	16.2	0.18
Lucious Harris	39	37	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	-9	19	13.4	14.7	-1.35	18.1	15.2	2.87
Jason Collins	27	27	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.13	7	-6	13	14.6	14.1	0.47	18.7	15.4	3.39
Aaron Williams	23	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	-3	7	14.3	14.2	0.07	18.0	15.7	2.33
Keith Van Horn	56	58	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.28	-9	10	-19	15.0	13.3	1.73	15.8	16.8	-0.99
Derrick Dial	19	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	0	1	15.5	13.9	1.61	17.5	15.9	1.63
Todd MacCulloch	67	66	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	8	-15	14.7	13.3	1.48	14.8	18.6	-3.78
Kerry Kittles	59	58	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	11	-21	14.4	14.0	0.37	14.6	18.3	-3.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	68	67	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.31	-3	2	-5	16.4	15.9	0.57	14.2	14.2	0.08
DeShawn Stevenson	16	16	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-7	13	13.0	16.8	-3.82	13.9	14.3	-0.32
John Crotty	36	38	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-6	11	15.7	16.5	-0.82	14.1	14.3	-0.12
Scott Padgett	12	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-4	7	12.0	16.8	-4.78	14.1	14.2	-0.15
John Amaechi	28	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	2	-5	18.9	15.2	3.69	13.7	14.4	-0.63
Quincy Lewis	50	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	5	-11	16.0	16.4	-0.44	13.8	14.6	-0.86
Karl Malone	88	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.52	4	-5	9	15.7	18.9	-3.12	14.3	13.6	0.74
John Starks	38	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	0	-1	17.9	15.3	2.62	14.6	14.0	0.60
John Stockton	68	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	5	-11	16.5	15.7	0.82	14.3	14.1	0.12
Donyell Marshall	88	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.52	-1	0	-1	15.6	19.9	-4.38	14.2	14.2	0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	28	28	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.54	-3	2	-5	18.5	15.4	3.11	14.7	14.0	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 111, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.28,0.55,0.42,0	90.6%
DET 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.73,0	89.0%
SEA 111, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.96,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	88.7%