NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	11.1 [28]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +28.6%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	8.0 [205]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -48.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29	0.04	0.26	0.02	20	57%	0.41	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.10
J.R. Smith	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	14	63%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Timofey Mozgov	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	7	93%	0.16	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	15	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.18,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.09	0.03	22	44%	-0.11	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.11
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.09	0.02	16	70%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.14	0.02	13	63%	0.22	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.14	-0.02	7	56%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.08	0.01	16	44%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.39,-0.39,-0.54,-0.44	-0.44	-0.19	-0.29	-0.04	18	35%	-0.09	6	-0.35	4	75%	0.03
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.49	-0.49	-0.17	-0.31	0.00	15	32%	-0.22	5	-0.27	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	1.6	29.0	16.5	26.4	2.4	31.3	1.6	17.2	150.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.5%

IND -4.3%

IND -9.9%

CLE +26.0%

IND -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	14.9	106.7	101.9	105.1
season	15.8	14.6		110.3	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.9		101.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	13.2	14.3	19.2	15.5	19.4	15.7
IND	15.0	14.0	14.4	17.3	12.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	25	26	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-5	15	13.6	16.4	-2.73	14.0	15.2	-1.15
Tristan Thompson	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	0	5	15.2	17.8	-2.57	14.6	15.7	-1.09
LeBron James	85	85	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	6	-7	16.3	12.9	3.38	14.3	17.5	-3.19
Kevin Love	82	81	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	4	-3	16.2	14.0	2.17	14.9	14.7	0.22
Iman Shumpert	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	3	-1	15.8	15.6	0.17	14.1	15.4	-1.34
Kyrie Irving	80	80	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	6	-7	16.2	14.2	1.95	14.9	14.6	0.31
Richard Jefferson	19	19	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-1	7	12.9	16.3	-3.38	17.5	14.3	3.19
J.R. Smith	73	73	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	3	-1	14.9	17.6	-2.75	15.6	13.1	2.47
Timofey Mozgov	22	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	7	-9	17.0	15.4	1.58	15.7	14.6	1.09

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	39	37	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.20	1	-6	7	15.1	14.7	0.42	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Lavoy Allen	51	50	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-7	9	15.1	14.6	0.53	16.2	15.3	0.94
Glenn Robinson	14	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-6	7	13.2	15.1	-1.91	17.2	15.5	1.65
Joe Young	16	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	14.7	14.9	-0.21	13.8	16.1	-2.24
CJ Miles	23	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-7	9	15.5	14.7	0.84	14.3	16.1	-1.77
Myles Turner	73	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-2	-1	14.6	15.5	-0.88	16.0	15.1	0.94
Jordan Hill	68	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	15.2	14.2	1.07	16.1	14.9	1.16
Paul George	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	3	-11	14.3	16.7	-2.45	15.6	16.0	-0.32
Monta Ellis	82	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	2	-9	14.6	15.7	-1.09	15.2	17.8	-2.57
George Hill	74	75	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.51	-8	3	-11	15.5	13.4	2.11	16.1	14.6	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.28,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 90, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	90.6%
DET 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.73,0	89.0%
DEN 118, CLE 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.33,0.09,0	88.7%