NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	122		Excitement	8.5 [180]		MVP	Dorell Wright (GSW): +27.7%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	2.0 [407]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): -26.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17,0.28	0.04	0.24	0.01	11	62%	0.34	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.10	0.13	0.02	17	67%	0.29	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.03
Stephen Curry	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	20	58%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1	-0.01	0.11	0.00	16	51%	0.15	2	-0.05	11	73%	0.03
Brandan Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Carney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.09	-0.02	9	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.13	-0.01	15	72%	0.41	6	-0.15	16	87%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.12	0.03	12	67%	0.25	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.07
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.03	20	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.04
Henry Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	12	36%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.23,-0.26	-0.26	0.00	-0.23	0.03	9	56%	-0.19	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	30.7	15.8	33.2	2.7	46.0	160.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +67.9%

NYK -26.7%

NYK -14.6%

GSW +18.6%

GSW +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	13.0	15.5	116.2	111.4	105.7
season	14.8	14.3		106.6	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		108.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.7	13.1	17.3	13.3	14.5
NYK	12.0	12.6	13.4	13.9	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	88	86	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-4	13	14.8	12.6	2.25	13.1	12.4	0.65
Andris Biedrins	58	57	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-10	25	14.7	14.1	0.59	12.8	13.1	-0.32
Monta Ellis	87	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	14.6	13.9	0.64	13.1	12.3	0.79
Stephen Curry	98	98	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-1	7	14.5	13.7	0.82	13.1	11.6	1.48
Dorell Wright	91	90	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	2	1	14.7	12.8	1.95	13.0	12.7	0.33
Brandan Wright	21	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	2	1	14.0	14.6	-0.54	12.9	13.0	-0.11
Reggie Williams	52	52	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	12	-19	13.5	15.4	-1.93	12.7	13.2	-0.44
Rodney Carney	10	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	6	-7	13.9	14.5	-0.64	13.6	12.9	0.76
Jeremy Lin	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	6	-7	13.7	14.5	-0.82	11.6	13.1	-1.48
Vladimir Radmanovic	13	14	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.11	-9	14	-23	13.3	14.6	-1.33	12.1	13.1	-0.93

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	75	75	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.15	9	-14	23	12.5	14.0	-1.42	15.3	12.3	3.00
Henry Walker	22	21	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-7	9	12.9	13.0	-0.11	15.6	14.2	1.43
Timofey Mozgov	4	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	14.0	12.9	1.09	12.4	14.6	-2.18
Anthony Randolph	18	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	0	-5	13.7	12.8	0.86	13.8	14.6	-0.78
Toney Douglas	75	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-4	3	13.2	12.2	1.01	13.9	15.7	-1.83
Amar'e Stoudemire	91	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-3	1	12.9	13.5	-0.63	14.2	16.4	-2.25
Wilson Chandler	88	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	0	-5	12.9	13.0	-0.06	14.6	13.7	0.86
Danilo Gallinari	71	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	2	-9	13.0	12.9	0.02	14.5	14.3	0.21
Raymond Felton	81	83	-1.00	0.50	-1.49	-0.62	-13	8	-21	13.0	12.9	0.10	14.3	15.2	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.26,0.45,0.67,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 100, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.37,0.43,0.19,0	91.7%
MIN 107, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.69,0.42,0	90.2%
LAC 82, DEN 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.67,0.42,0	90.0%