NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	100		Excitement	6.6 [455]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +24.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.6 [683]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -29.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.25	0.07	0.18	0.01	23	61%	0.35	5	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Alonzo Mourning	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	47%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Chris Quinn	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.03	0	0.00	11	82%	0.06
Ricky Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	11	74%	0.13	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.06

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.13	-0.00	9	50%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	15	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	16	44%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21,-0.29	-0.29	-0.01	-0.24	0.03	15	59%	-0.14	6	-0.15	11	91%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	30.1	16.5	29.2	2.5	33.3	138.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +40.3%

MIA +9.6%

LAC -7.5%

MIA +7.8%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.7	15.4	106.4	100.0	105.7
season	16.0	15.6		99.0	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.8	16.0	15.2	15.8	16.0
LAC	14.5	14.6	15.4	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	66	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-4	14	15.5	17.0	-1.52	15.2	13.5	1.72
Dwyane Wade	81	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	16.0	15.9	0.05	14.3	17.0	-2.67
Udonis Haslem	84	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	-1	8	15.9	16.3	-0.37	14.8	13.9	0.86
Chris Quinn	86	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	1	4	16.0	15.5	0.51	14.8	12.7	2.11
Shaquille O'Neal	64	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	2	2	16.9	13.9	2.99	15.1	13.8	1.34
Alonzo Mourning	30	31	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	4	-2	13.9	16.9	-2.99	13.8	15.1	-1.34
Daequan Cook	18	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	15.2	16.2	-0.99	15.8	14.4	1.41
Dorell Wright	41	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	12	-18	17.0	15.2	1.87	13.5	15.5	-2.02

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Davis	33	35	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-15	24	14.5	14.8	-0.33	16.7	15.5	1.14
Al Thornton	7	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	12.7	14.8	-2.11	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Dan Dickau	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-5	4	15.8	14.3	1.53	15.8	16.0	-0.25
Cuttino Mobley	71	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-11	16	14.1	16.4	-2.28	15.4	17.7	-2.28
Corey Maggette	84	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	14.7	14.6	0.08	16.0	16.1	-0.17
Chris Kaman	78	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	0	-6	14.1	17.6	-3.49	15.8	16.8	-1.04
Brevin Knight	71	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	14.3	15.8	-1.53	16.0	15.8	0.25
Quinton Ross	43	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	9	-24	16.0	13.5	2.45	17.0	15.1	1.91
Tim Thomas	60	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	7	-20	15.5	13.2	2.25	15.8	16.2	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.37,0.43,0.19,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 122, NYK 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.26,0.45,0.67,0.37,0	91.7%
DAL 83, NOH 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.27,0	91.6%
TOR 105, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.09,0	90.7%