NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	83		Excitement	7.4 [284]		MVP	Delonte West (DAL): +14.1%
New Orleans Hornets	81		Comeback	1.4 [668]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): -33.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	10	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.07	0.01	11	58%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brandan Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.05	0.02	14	47%	0.06	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Brian Cardinal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	16	32%	-0.08	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Jason Kidd	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.12	1	-0.02	13	69%	-0.13
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	13	55%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carldell Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	5	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.05	0.04	12	39%	-0.12	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33	-0.33	-0.06	-0.26	0.01	15	36%	-0.31	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.0	15.5	28.3	2.4	42.4	141.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.8%

DAL +8.7%

DAL +5.6%

NOH -8.5%

DAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	14.4	17.1	15.6	91.2	88.0	102.8
season	15.5	16.3		101.6	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.3	15.2	12.5	15.9	14.4
NOH	18.5	17.5	15.8	16.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	63	66	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-7	16	14.3	14.6	-0.34	16.7	18.0	-1.27
Jason Kidd	63	67	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-10	22	14.3	14.5	-0.23	17.1	17.2	-0.10
Shawn Marion	69	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	-4	10	14.3	14.7	-0.41	17.4	16.1	1.22
Ian Mahinmi	36	35	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	3	-4	13.5	14.9	-1.45	17.2	17.0	0.18
Lamar Odom	45	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-7	16	15.9	12.9	2.95	18.3	16.0	2.31
Brendan Haywood	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-6	14	14.9	13.7	1.15	17.2	16.9	0.37
Jason Terry	55	54	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.42	-10	12	-22	13.5	15.7	-2.28	16.3	18.2	-1.82
Yi Jianlian	12	11	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	-1	4	12.1	14.7	-2.64	18.4	16.9	1.45
Brandan Wright	13	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	6	-10	13.5	14.5	-0.97	14.6	17.5	-2.88
Rodrigue Beaubois	32	30	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.13	-12	14	-26	14.9	14.1	0.87	17.6	16.8	0.81
Brian Cardinal	15	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	12	-22	16.1	14.0	2.11	16.0	17.3	-1.28

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	20	21	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-11	20	16.0	17.4	-1.33	15.9	13.9	1.93
Carldell Johnson	8	9	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-7	12	20.7	16.7	4.01	16.7	14.1	2.54
Greivis Vasquez	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-7	12	16.3	17.5	-1.20	15.2	13.9	1.24
Chris Kaman	14	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	1	-4	18.4	16.9	1.50	12.3	14.8	-2.44
DaJuan Summers	21	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	0	-2	15.3	17.6	-2.33	11.7	15.2	-3.55
Gustavo Ayon	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-1	0	15.0	17.3	-2.26	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Carl Landry	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-8	14	16.6	17.8	-1.18	14.2	14.6	-0.31
Jason Smith	39	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	6	-14	17.8	16.6	1.18	14.6	14.2	0.31
Emeka Okafor	71	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-4	6	17.0	17.2	-0.20	15.0	12.6	2.42
Marco Belinelli	47	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	5	-12	17.2	16.9	0.30	14.8	13.9	0.89
Jarrett Jack	77	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.45	-5	3	-8	17.4	15.3	2.10	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Trevor Ariza	72	70	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.46	-11	9	-20	17.4	16.0	1.33	13.9	15.9	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.23,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.27,0	92.8%
TOR 115, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.02,0	91.7%
MEM 103, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.32,0.29,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0	91.7%