inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 105 Excitement7.7 [296] MVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): +15.3%
Boston Celtics 103 Comeback1.6 [711] LVPAntoine Walker (BOS): -23.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning0.150,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.150.020.13-0.011555%0.1500.001292%0.04
Jamal Mashburn0.110,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.04-0.001179%0.214-0.10786%0.03
Clar. Weatherspoon0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08-0.030.110.00470%0.173-0.09250%-0.01
Mark Strickland0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.00380%0.071-0.024100%0.02
Otis Thorpe0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Rodney Buford0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.021445%0.032-0.063100%0.02
Anthony Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01654%0.032-0.061100%0.00
Tim Hardaway-0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.060.001650%-0.042-0.042100%0.01
P.J. Brown-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.00425%-0.022-0.0800%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0,0,0.050.050.000.02-0.031355%0.081-0.03786%0.01
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.01-0.00462%0.0400.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.031150%0.053-0.0300%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01462%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,0.11,-0.04-0.040.01-0.06-0.012354%0.073-0.104100%0.03
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.00450%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.15-0.02-0.01722%-0.093-0.074100%0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23-0.23-0.03-0.200.002849%-0.2300.001656%-0.18
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.02.031.215.631.02.436.6146.9
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +56.3%
MIA +18.9%
BOS -11.6%
BOS -15.0%
MIA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game14.314.915.2106.1105.1101.7
season15.714.7101.2102.4
opponent15.115.9103.398.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.613.713.318.214.3
BOS14.714.016.015.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Mashburn61610.76-0.261.020.2916-143013.914.9-0.9316.113.13.04
Tim Hardaway67670.72-0.220.940.469-71614.414.00.3915.613.52.10
Voshon Lenard84840.56-0.060.620.415-3814.711.92.8615.312.92.36
Alonzo Mourning83810.56-0.060.610.473-1414.811.73.1114.716.2-1.56
Clar. Weatherspoon45430.300.200.100.2420214.414.20.2415.214.70.51
P.J. Brown43440.210.29-0.090.094-2614.414.20.1815.114.80.34
Rodney Buford1514-0.060.56-0.620.03-35-811.914.7-2.8612.915.3-2.36
Otis Thorpe2728-0.060.56-0.630.08-57-1212.415.0-2.6415.014.90.07
Anthony Carter3231-0.220.72-0.94-0.01-79-1614.014.4-0.3913.515.6-2.10
Mark Strickland3837-0.260.76-1.020.15-1416-3014.913.90.9313.116.1-3.04

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dana Barros31300.17-0.670.85-0.037-91613.015.8-2.8013.614.6-0.95
Danny Fortson32320.13-0.630.75-0.025-71213.715.6-1.9213.114.9-1.82
Tony Battie2223-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-4614.815.0-0.2315.713.91.83
Walter McCarty3436-0.03-0.470.43-0.092-4613.215.9-2.6214.614.10.41
Calbert Cheaney2728-0.21-0.290.07-0.13-31-414.315.2-0.9014.314.30.04
Paul Pierce7573-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.443-5815.413.61.7514.812.81.96
Adrian Griffin5960-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.26-64-1015.713.81.8313.715.2-1.46
Antoine Walker9798-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.44-20-215.09.06.0114.219.0-4.76
Vitaly Potapenko4545-0.630.13-0.76-0.36-97-1615.814.21.6114.614.10.48
Kenny Anderson6870-0.640.14-0.78-0.37-97-1615.912.92.9514.414.10.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.23,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 83, NOH 810.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.09,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.27,092.8%
IND 105, LAC 1000.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.23,0.15,091.7%
NOH 87, MIL 810.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,091.4%