NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	82		Excitement	9.1 [103]		MVP	Earl Boykins (LAC): +8.2%
Denver Nuggets	80		Comeback	2.0 [531]		LVP	James Posey (DEN): -34.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.08	-0.02	4	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0,0,-0.09	0.01	-0.12	-0.01	21	59%	0.08	4	-0.17	4	25%	-0.10
Jeff McInnis	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	13	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	9	37%	0.05	5	-0.21	6	83%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.18	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.18	-0.01	-0.18	-0.00	11	50%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.07	-0.01	16	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.24	-0.24	-0.04	-0.22	-0.02	11	42%	-0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.19	-0.15	-0.01	15	20%	-0.25	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.05,-0.34	-0.34	-0.01	-0.34	-0.00	24	54%	-0.09	4	-0.25	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	22.6	16.2	22.6	2.4	34.2	125.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +67.1%

LAC +7.6%

DEN -17.6%

DEN -3.9%

DEN -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.6	92.1	87.9	102.3
season	15.9	16.1		103.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.9	14.3	17.4	16.0	15.9
DEN	13.6	17.0	16.9	17.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	65	65	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.47	9	-7	16	15.5	16.9	-1.35	16.4	15.3	1.12
Michael Olowokandi	43	43	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-5	12	16.7	15.1	1.66	16.3	16.0	0.28
Corey Maggette	50	51	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-10	22	15.7	16.1	-0.43	16.2	16.0	0.24
Lamar Odom	83	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-2	6	16.0	13.7	2.38	16.2	14.7	1.55
Jeff McInnis	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	3	-4	16.0	15.5	0.53	15.5	17.4	-1.91
Earl Boykins	27	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	-1	4	15.5	16.0	-0.53	16.6	15.9	0.71
Eric Piatkowski	22	23	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.14	-3	5	-8	14.8	16.2	-1.42	15.5	16.3	-0.85
Darius Miles	54	55	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.27	-10	12	-22	15.5	16.5	-0.99	15.5	17.0	-1.47
Sean Rooks	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	5	-8	15.4	16.0	-0.54	16.8	16.0	0.77
Quentin Richardson	25	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.02	-8	10	-18	17.2	15.4	1.88	16.9	15.8	1.05

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	36	33	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-8	14	15.3	16.6	-1.33	16.1	15.8	0.32
Ryan Bowen	55	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.41	12	-14	26	15.7	16.7	-0.92	16.5	15.0	1.48
Scott Williams	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	2	-6	14.0	16.5	-2.53	14.3	16.2	-1.90
George McCloud	15	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	5	-12	19.1	15.5	3.54	14.1	16.2	-2.07
Nick Van Exel	40	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	6	-14	15.3	16.7	-1.45	15.4	16.2	-0.78
Avery Johnson	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.43	6	-8	14	16.7	15.3	1.45	16.2	15.4	0.78
Raef LaFrentz	78	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	16.4	14.5	1.83	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Shawnelle Scott	19	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	8	-18	15.4	16.3	-0.87	17.2	15.5	1.76
James Posey	84	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	2	-6	16.3	14.3	1.98	15.8	17.0	-1.21
Voshon Lenard	62	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	4	-10	16.4	15.6	0.82	15.9	15.8	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.67,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.69,0.42,0	91.0%
TOR 105, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.09,0	90.3%
POR 80, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	90.2%