inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 121 Excitement12.1 [10] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +27.1%
San Antonio Spurs 124 Comeback22.9 [89] LVPIsh Smith (HOU): -31.3%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luis Scola0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.43,0.180.060.130.011662%0.422-0.2500%0.00
Shane Battier0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.130.060.080.00870%0.222-0.084100%0.05
Kevin Martin0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.14-0.010.011086%0.203-0.08887%0.02
Aaron Brooks0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011364%0.103-0.082100%0.01
Jordan Hill0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00564%0.051-0.031100%0.00
Brad Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.030.00757%0.021-0.0500%0.00
Courtney Lee-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001242%-0.011-0.0220%-0.12
Chase Budinger-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.10-0.080.0050%-0.131-0.0500%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.25,-0.25-0.00-0.250.00750%-0.111-0.142100%0.03
Ish Smith-0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29,-0.29,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31-0.09-0.220.001632%-0.291-0.022100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.270.270.050.220.001551%0.2700.00743%-0.16
Richard Jefferson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.140.060.011373%0.221-0.03450%-0.03
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.24,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.090.090.030.06-0.002456%0.224-0.132100%0.05
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.00571%0.0700.004100%0.02
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.04-0.00837%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.050.00861%0.002-0.05250%-0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.011752%0.194-0.24683%-0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00928%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.22.631.314.824.42.434.21.516.5151.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +44.6%
SAS +4.5%
HOU -29.0%
SAS +33.1%
HOU -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSASNBAHOUSASNBA
this game15.113.815.5111.0111.7105.7
season15.215.5109.5109.3
opponent15.214.9103.6107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
HOU13.915.015.815.416.015.1
SAS13.813.213.615.212.713.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Brooks39380.07-0.570.650.012-5714.615.4-0.8212.514.5-2.02
Charles Hayes55560.06-0.560.61-0.095-81315.115.10.0714.513.21.32
Chase Budinger3033-0.01-0.490.49-0.093-6914.515.3-0.8614.113.70.37
Brad Miller3438-0.03-0.470.43-0.185-81315.614.80.8113.813.80.02
Courtney Lee5863-0.24-0.260.01-0.364-71115.414.80.5814.413.01.42
Kevin Martin5148-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.05-74-1114.815.4-0.5813.014.4-1.42
Jordan Hill5957-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-107-1715.215.00.2413.614.0-0.41
Ish Smith6871-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.31-30-315.215.00.1914.812.12.70
Luis Scola7070-0.570.07-0.65-0.40-63-914.715.8-1.0913.614.1-0.50
Shane Battier8181-0.760.26-1.01-0.52-85-1315.513.91.6613.315.2-1.83

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Jefferson81820.85-0.351.200.4713-102313.714.2-0.5515.514.01.45
Tony Parker86870.77-0.271.040.4212-92113.714.4-0.7415.115.2-0.11
Tim Duncan78800.71-0.210.920.3911-81913.813.9-0.0715.214.90.27
DeJuan Blair45440.51-0.010.530.1313-102314.513.41.1514.815.3-0.53
Manu Ginobili85830.370.130.240.3703-312.817.1-4.2415.314.31.03
Gary Neal3534-0.100.60-0.700.14-811-1914.313.60.7113.915.6-1.76
Antonio McDyess7371-0.150.65-0.800.11-912-2113.714.1-0.3415.214.90.30
George Hill4743-0.160.66-0.820.02-69-1515.612.62.9914.715.3-0.61
Tiago Splitter2521-0.300.80-1.110.02-1114-2513.513.9-0.4015.615.00.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.23,0.04,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.45,0.26,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 96, MIA 1020.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.42,187.9%
SAC 90, POR 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.25,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.42,187.6%
NOP 93, SAS 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.42,187.3%