NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	93		Excitement	12.5 [15]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +91.7%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	39.2 [40]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -62.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.92	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.92	0.11	0.80	-0.01	12	70%	0.97	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.08
Jimmer Fredette	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	8	78%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.16,-0.16	0.01	-0.16	0.00	18	47%	0.01	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	18	36%	-0.01	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.63	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.63	-0.07	-0.57	-0.01	18	36%	-0.63	0	0.00	6	83%	0.09

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.63	0.63	0.00	0.64	0.01	12	53%	0.68	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.37	0.37	0.15	0.22	-0.00	17	68%	0.39	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.05
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.37,-0.37,-0.38	-0.38	-0.14	-0.24	-0.01	13	25%	-0.28	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	25.3	15.3	25.1	1.8	33.6	0.7	15.7	141.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +71.4%

NOP -39.0%

NOP -14.1%

SAS +27.8%

SAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAS	NBA	NOP	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	15.1	88.6	93.1	104.2
season	15.8	15.4		106.3	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.2		101.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	15.2	15.3	15.5	16.1	15.5	15.5
SAS	13.6	15.3	16.5	16.6	13.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	74	73	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.23	10	-12	22	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.9	13.4	2.48
Jimmer Fredette	47	46	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.17	6	-8	14	16.1	15.0	1.14	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Luke Babbitt	25	26	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.00	5	-7	12	16.4	15.2	1.13	16.9	14.6	2.28
Ryan Anderson	76	73	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.18	-3	1	-4	15.5	15.6	-0.13	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Dante Cunningham	34	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	0	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.38	16.2	14.7	1.44
Anthony Davis	80	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.55	9	-11	20	15.3	16.0	-0.71	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Tyreke Evans	79	75	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.49	-8	6	-14	15.6	15.1	0.50	14.7	16.6	-1.86
Omer Asik	54	52	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.51	-10	8	-18	15.8	15.2	0.62	15.7	14.7	0.99
Austin Rivers	56	51	-1.67	1.17	-2.83	-1.17	-17	15	-32	14.5	16.7	-2.17	13.9	16.6	-2.69

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	58	62	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-9	20	13.6	17.4	-3.88	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Marco Belinelli	47	49	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-9	20	15.0	15.4	-0.46	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Boris Diaw	42	45	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-7	16	14.1	16.0	-1.88	14.2	16.5	-2.27
Tiago Splitter	50	53	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-8	18	13.6	16.8	-3.27	15.6	15.4	0.22
Tim Duncan	67	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.52	-6	8	-14	15.9	13.9	2.08	15.8	14.9	0.85
Danny Green	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.49	-6	8	-14	16.1	13.6	2.47	16.0	14.6	1.40
Patty Mills	58	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	-7	16	13.6	17.4	-3.88	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Matt Bonner	44	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	9	-16	17.4	13.6	3.88	16.2	15.0	1.26
Kyle Anderson	34	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	12	-22	16.7	14.5	2.22	16.1	15.2	0.83
Cory Joseph	45	43	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	-0.22	-11	13	-24	17.0	13.8	3.25	16.3	14.9	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.71,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, DEN 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.73,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.58,1	88.3%
TOR 89, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.47,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.73,1	87.6%
NJN 102, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.72,0.81,0.55,0.57,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.55,0.91,1	87.5%