NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	10.4 [52]		MVP	Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf (SAC): +55.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	7.6 [169]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): -46.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.38,0.32,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.55	0.19	0.35	-0.01	21	74%	0.70	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.13	-0.00	9	67%	0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	92%	0.15	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.01
Duane Causwell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Simmons	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	12	36%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Billy Owens	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	12	37%	-0.12	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.47	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.47	-0.13	-0.34	-0.00	18	33%	-0.38	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.06	0.14	0.00	17	41%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.03	-0.00	19	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.10	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.43,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.08	-0.01	13	44%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.20
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	5	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.12
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.12	-0.20	-0.00	12	25%	-0.26	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.7	2.3	26.3	15.0	21.4	2.4	32.3	1.5	13.0	135.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -10.8%

SAC -9.2%

POR +21.6%

POR +33.7%

POR +14.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	17.9	17.7	15.6	101.1	102.2	104.4
season	15.4	15.5		102.4	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	17.9	16.5	18.4	17.3	22.0	17.9
POR	17.2	17.8	16.6	18.7	18.2	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	69	71	0.08	-0.57	0.65	-0.30	13	-15	28	18.6	15.4	3.13	17.9	16.8	1.10
Duane Causwell	28	29	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	-0.06	0	-2	2	18.8	17.4	1.38	17.5	17.7	-0.25
Michael Smith	41	40	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-7	12	16.7	18.9	-2.26	18.1	17.3	0.84
Billy Owens	78	79	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-6	10	17.7	19.2	-1.49	18.0	15.2	2.82
Corliss Williamson	49	52	-0.23	-0.26	0.03	-0.23	0	-2	2	17.7	18.1	-0.36	17.8	17.5	0.27
Tyus Edney	18	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.06	-11	9	-20	16.8	18.1	-1.31	17.4	17.7	-0.30
Olden Polynice	64	63	-0.40	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	3	-8	18.6	16.0	2.55	17.4	18.2	-0.81
Mitch Richmond	71	72	-0.52	0.03	-0.55	-0.43	-3	1	-4	17.9	17.9	-0.02	16.9	20.8	-3.97
Lionel Simmons	27	27	-0.79	0.30	-1.08	-0.41	-13	11	-24	16.8	18.4	-1.58	18.1	17.4	0.70

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	63	62	0.78	-0.29	1.07	0.31	16	-14	30	17.2	18.8	-1.60	18.4	16.6	1.79
Isaiah Rider	68	67	0.71	-0.22	0.93	0.39	11	-9	20	18.1	16.2	1.89	18.1	17.0	1.10
Arvydas Sabonis	54	55	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-12	26	17.0	18.6	-1.55	18.6	16.6	1.99
Clifford Robinson	80	79	0.44	0.05	0.39	0.47	-1	3	-4	17.7	17.5	0.18	18.1	16.5	1.55
Kenny Anderson	76	75	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.47	-10	12	-22	18.0	15.7	2.30	18.4	15.1	3.24
Aaron McKie	36	36	0.15	0.34	-0.20	0.06	3	-1	4	16.0	18.7	-2.71	16.3	18.9	-2.64
Gary Trent	37	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	13	-24	18.4	17.1	1.32	16.6	18.8	-2.19
Chris Dudley	36	34	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	14	-26	18.6	17.0	1.55	16.6	18.6	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.25,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 99, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.73,1	89.0%
UTA 108, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.54,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	87.9%
CHH 90, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.73,1	87.8%