NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	112		Excitement	8.9 [120]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +68.1%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	4.4 [284]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -31.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.68	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.61,0.68	0.18	0.50	0.00	13	87%	0.84	4	-0.16	6	100%	0.05
Antonio McDyess	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	6	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Tiago Splitter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.02	6	47%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
James Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.07	0.01	13	86%	0.27	6	-0.25	3	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
DeJuan Blair	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.16	0.02	12	56%	-0.00	4	-0.18	8	62%	-0.02
Tony Parker	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	11	42%	-0.15	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	18	55%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	79%	0.16	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	133%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	11	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Earl Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Garret Siler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	8	42%	-0.09	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.29,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.18	0.02	22	41%	-0.19	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	33.0	15.6	26.3	2.4	34.5	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +71.6%

SAS +10.3%

SAS +10.2%

PHX -40.7%

PHX -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	13.0	15.5	109.8	107.8	105.7
season	15.5	14.5		109.3	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.2		109.0	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.0	14.8	14.0	15.1	15.2
PHX	11.8	13.4	13.7	13.1	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	72	72	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.65	10	-8	18	14.8	16.1	-1.25	13.2	12.5	0.78
Tim Duncan	72	72	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-8	18	14.7	16.5	-1.87	13.1	12.9	0.22
Richard Jefferson	74	74	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-6	14	14.8	16.3	-1.52	13.1	12.8	0.27
DeJuan Blair	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-7	16	13.5	16.5	-2.99	13.9	12.3	1.56
Manu Ginobili	76	74	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.31	-1	3	-4	13.9	19.0	-5.13	13.0	13.2	-0.22
Tiago Splitter	29	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	2	-2	17.3	14.4	2.93	13.2	12.9	0.26
Gary Neal	14	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	0	2	18.1	14.8	3.31	10.6	13.4	-2.84
James Anderson	45	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.21	-8	10	-18	16.8	13.9	2.91	13.2	12.9	0.24
Antonio McDyess	54	53	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	10	-18	17.2	13.0	4.15	12.8	13.2	-0.36
Garrett Temple	31	32	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.05	-12	14	-26	14.9	15.3	-0.40	12.2	13.4	-1.26

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-2	2	3.0	13.1	-10.12	0.0	15.2	-15.22
Channing Frye	48	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.29	9	-11	20	12.3	13.7	-1.38	16.5	14.0	2.50
Garret Siler	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-3	4	14.1	12.8	1.31	14.1	15.4	-1.35
Goran Dragic	32	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	13.0	13.0	-0.03	16.4	14.7	1.70
Hedo Turkoglu	39	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	12.8	13.2	-0.41	14.1	15.9	-1.85
Grant Hill	72	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-7	12	12.6	13.9	-1.29	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Jared Dudley	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	2	-6	13.7	12.6	1.02	15.8	14.9	0.98
Josh Childress	29	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	3	-8	13.7	12.7	0.98	15.4	15.1	0.31
Jason Richardson	74	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-4	6	13.0	13.0	-0.02	15.5	14.5	0.96
Hakim Warrick	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-5	8	13.2	12.8	0.41	15.9	14.1	1.85
Steve Nash	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-5	8	13.0	13.0	0.03	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Robin Lopez	28	29	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	12	-26	13.4	12.9	0.51	12.6	16.3	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.19,0.39,0.53,0.79,0.69,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.16,0	89.9%
OKC 104, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.16,0	89.9%
DET 111, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.53,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.63,0.33,0.23,0	89.9%