NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	9.0 [128]		MVP	Will Bynum (DET): +36.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	2.3 [372]		LVP	Kyle Singler (DET): -13.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Bynum	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.11	0.25	0.00	10	80%	0.39	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.23,0.3,0.33	0.22	0.14	0.03	11	74%	0.33	0	0.00	17	53%	-0.21
Greg Monroe	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	18	56%	0.18	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.09	-0.05	0.02	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.07	9	67%	-0.03
Kim English	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	11	28%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Singler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	7	35%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.01	15	63%	0.41	5	-0.23	13	92%	0.09
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.18	1	-0.13	6	50%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.03	5	90%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	40%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	44%	0.03	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	28.3	15.7	25.3	2.4	49.7	146.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +2.2%

CLE -10.6%

DET +13.4%

DET +41.6%

DET +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.4	115.6	108.3	104.1
season	15.7	15.5		102.3	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.5		107.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.8	14.0	17.6	11.6	14.5
CLE	14.8	17.9	15.9	13.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	68	68	1.11	-0.61	1.72	0.23	30	-23	53	13.6	16.7	-3.03	15.0	16.7	-1.76
Greg Monroe	78	78	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.22	19	-12	31	14.1	16.5	-2.42	15.0	17.4	-2.36
Rodney Stuckey	77	77	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.12	19	-12	31	13.8	17.4	-3.54	14.8	18.4	-3.62
Andre Drummond	67	68	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	4	-1	14.6	14.3	0.37	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Brandon Knight	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	-1	9	14.2	15.5	-1.24	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Will Bynum	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	8	-9	13.1	15.8	-2.63	15.5	15.4	0.08
Jonas Jerebko	33	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.09	2	5	-3	15.7	13.9	1.82	15.8	15.3	0.53
Kim English	5	5	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	16	-25	19.4	14.3	5.14	19.0	15.3	3.73
Charlie Villanueva	11	11	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	20	-33	17.1	14.2	2.89	20.2	14.9	5.32
Khris Middleton	38	38	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	0.15	-21	28	-49	16.7	13.1	3.52	16.5	14.8	1.66

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	44	43	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.07	11	-18	29	15.8	15.2	0.60	15.7	13.6	2.03
Kevin Jones	32	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-10	13	17.6	14.4	3.14	14.8	14.4	0.47
Omri Casspi	35	35	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-9	11	16.4	14.9	1.47	13.5	15.1	-1.65
Dion Waiters	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	17.4	14.6	2.84	14.8	14.4	0.33
Marreese Speights	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-10	13	17.6	14.6	3.02	15.5	14.2	1.32
Tyler Zeller	61	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	1	-9	14.4	17.3	-2.86	14.2	15.2	-1.04
Kyrie Irving	72	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	7	-21	14.8	17.3	-2.49	14.1	15.8	-1.74
Alonzo Gee	61	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	2	-11	14.9	16.4	-1.47	15.1	13.5	1.65
Tristan Thompson	68	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	2	-11	15.0	16.5	-1.46	14.9	13.6	1.36
Wayne Ellington	50	51	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.24	-16	9	-25	14.2	16.8	-2.56	13.3	15.9	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.53,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.63,0.33,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	91.5%
TOR 97, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.26,0	91.4%
MIL 101, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.47,0.3,0.55,0.26,0	90.4%